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🇧🇷 Serie A · Brazil

Mirassol VS Gremio Prediction and Betting Tips

Mirassol
L L W W L
vs
23:00
17 Jul · Fri
Gremio
L W L D W
Referee: Lucas Casagrande, Brazil
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
Total:Over: 2.5
70% confidence
2.13
Odds

As we approach another thrilling encounter in Serie A, Mirassol will host Gremio on July 17, 2026. Both teams find themselves in a precarious position in the league, with Mirassol sitting at 19th place and Gremio just slightly better off at 16th. This match is crucial for both sides as they battle to climb out of the relegation zone.

Mirassol's recent form has been a mixed bag, with their away performances letting them down. Despite a commendable home record of four wins and one draw in their last five matches, they have struggled away from home. Averaging 0.80 goals per game in their last five, they have managed to score more consistently at home, with an average of 1.60 goals. Defensively, they are more solid at home, conceding only 0.60 goals on average. Interestingly, Mirassol has had the upper hand against Gremio in their recent head-to-head meetings, winning all three of their last encounters. Fortunately for them, they have no injuries or suspensions to worry about, allowing them to field their strongest team.

Gremio, on the other hand, has shown resilience on the road. Their away form is impressive, boasting three wins and two draws in their last five away fixtures. This contrasts sharply with their home performances, where they have been less consistent. With an average of 1.80 goals scored per game in their last five matches, Gremio has been finding the back of the net regularly but has also been conceding an average of 2.00 goals. Their defense will need to tighten up if they are to secure a result against Mirassol, a team they have struggled against in the past. Like Mirassol, Gremio has no injury or suspension concerns, allowing them to focus on their tactical approach.

In terms of prediction, both teams have clear strengths and weaknesses. Mirassol's strong home form and historical dominance over Gremio give them a slight edge. However, Gremio's robust away performances suggest they will be no pushovers. The most likely outcome could be a match with multiple goals, considering Gremio's scoring ability and Mirassol's home scoring average. Therefore, a Total:Over: 2.5 goals bet seems promising, given both teams’ recent scoring patterns. The confidence score for this prediction is 7, considering their offensive capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities. Additional betting events to consider include Mirassol's strong home form with a 1X double chance, as well as Gremio's ability to score away from home, suggesting the potential for both teams to score.

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Mirassol
Home win
48%
Draw
No bet
28%
Gremio
Away win
24%
30.05 A Atletico Paranaense 0 — 1 L
26.05 A Lanus 0 — 1 L
23.05 H Fluminense 1 — 0 W
20.05 A Always Ready 2 — 1 W
16.05 A Atletico-MG 1 — 3 L
04.07 H Chapecoense-sc 1 — 2 L
27.06 A Cascavel 2 — 1 W
30.05 H Corinthians 1 — 3 L
26.05 H Atletico Torque 2 — 2 D
23.05 H Santos 3 — 2 W
13.09.2025 Gremio vs Mirassol 0 — 1
16.04.2025 Mirassol vs Gremio 4 — 1
02.03.2022 Mirassol vs Gremio 3 — 2

Football Betting Tips

70% Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5
Both teams have shown the ability to score, and Gremio's defense has been leaking goals, making a high-scoring game likely.
2.13
Odds
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5 @ 1.50 75%
1X @ 1.25 70%

Odds

Mirassol vs Gremio
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 2.02 3.46 4.15 Bet now
William Hill 1.95 3.10 3.80 Bet now
Bet365 1.91 3.40 3.80 Bet now
Marathonbet 1.94 3.35 3.88 Bet now
Unibet 1.92 3.35 4.10 Bet now
Betfair 1.95 3.30 3.80 Bet now
BetVictor 1.93 3.30 3.90 Bet now
Pinnacle 1.97 3.41 4.01 Bet now
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