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🇮🇹 Serie A · Italy

Genoa VS Fiorentina Prediction and Betting Tips

Genoa
L L W D L
vs
09:00
10 Oct · Sat
Fiorentina
D W W L L
Venue: Luigi Ferraris Referee: Fabio Maresca
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
X
70% confidence
3.26
Odds

As Genoa prepares to host Fiorentina at the Stadio Luigi Ferraris, both teams find themselves in the lower echelons of the Serie A standings. Scheduled for an early afternoon kickoff on October 10, this encounter offers an opportunity for both sides to gain some much-needed momentum. With Genoa positioned at 19th and Fiorentina slightly better at 17th, the match promises to be a closely contested affair with each side eager to climb out of the relegation zone.

Genoa's recent performances have been a mixed bag, showing glimpses of resilience but largely struggling to find consistency. In their last five fixtures, Genoa has managed just one win, a solitary victory over Sudtirol, with a draw against Frosinone and losses to Parma, Como, and Lazio. They have scored an average of 0.80 goals per match while conceding 1.60. At home, their form slightly improves as they secure an average of 1.40 goals, albeit still conceding 1.60 on average. Despite the challenges, Genoa enters this match without any injury or suspension concerns, allowing them to field their strongest possible lineup.

Fiorentina, on the other hand, comes into the match with a slightly better record, although inconsistencies have also plagued their campaign. Their recent form sees them with two wins, a draw, and two losses. A convincing 3-0 win against Pisa and a goal-fest victory over Venezia highlight their attacking potential, averaging 1.80 goals scored over their last five games. However, they've conceded an equal number of goals, which suggests vulnerabilities at the back. Away from home, Fiorentina has been relatively steady, with an average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded. Like Genoa, they also report no injuries or suspensions, allowing them to deploy their best available squad.

Looking ahead to the prediction, the match is poised to be a tactical battle between two sides desperate for points. Given the attacking tendencies and defensive frailties both teams have shown, this fixture could see goals from both sides. The historical head-to-head results reveal competitive encounters, with three draws and two Fiorentina victories in their last five meetings. Therefore, the most likely outcome appears to be a draw, with both teams finding the net. This prediction is supported by their similar defensive records and the propensity for draws in previous encounters. With a confidence score of 7, a draw with goals is the anticipated outcome. Additionally, expect a game that keeps the fans on edge, potentially featuring more than one goal, reflecting both teams' recent scoring patterns.

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Genoa
Home win
31%
Draw
No bet
29%
Fiorentina
Away win
40%
02.10 A Rapid 0 — 2 L
20.09 A Parma 1 — 2 L
15.09 H Sudtirol 1 — 0 W
12.09 H Frosinone 1 — 1 D
04.09 H Como 1 — 4 L
20.09 H Napoli 1 — 1 D
15.09 H Pisa 3 — 0 W
11.09 A Venezia 4 — 2 W
05.09 H Torino 1 — 2 L
29.08 H Frosinone 0 — 3 L
10.05.2026 Fiorentina vs Genoa 0 — 0
09.11.2025 Genoa vs Fiorentina 2 — 2
02.02.2025 Fiorentina vs Genoa 2 — 1
31.10.2024 Genoa vs Fiorentina 0 — 1
15.04.2024 Fiorentina vs Genoa 1 — 1

Injuries and Suspensions

Genoa

+D. Sow
+E. Havel
+F. Meichtry
+L. Colombo
+L. Venturino

Fiorentina

+F. Parisi
+R. Sottil

Football Betting Tips

70% Confidence
X
Both teams have similar defensive records and a history of draws, making a draw the most likely outcome.
3.26
Odds
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5 @ 1.38 75%
Total:Under: 3.0 @ 1.72 70%

Odds

Genoa vs Fiorentina
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 3.35 3.53 2.44 Bet now
William Hill 3.00 3.20 2.25 Bet now
Bet365 3.30 3.25 2.25 Bet now
Marathonbet 3.14 3.38 2.32 Bet now
Betfair 3.25 3.30 2.30 Bet now
BetVictor 3.13 3.30 2.25 Bet now
SBO 2.84 3.01 2.24 Bet now
1xBet 3.23 3.48 2.39 Bet now
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