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🇮🇹 Serie A · Italy

AS Roma VS Genoa Prediction and Betting Tips

AS Roma
D W D W W
vs
14:45
17 Oct · Sat
Genoa
L L W D L
Venue: Stadio Olimpico Referee: A. Colombo
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
Total:Over: 2.5
80% confidence
1.64
Odds

As Serie A action resumes, AS Roma will host Genoa at the iconic Stadio Olimpico on October 17th. This fixture presents two teams at opposite ends of the league table, with Roma sitting comfortably in first place, while Genoa finds itself struggling in the relegation zone. Both teams will be eager to secure points, albeit for vastly different reasons.

AS Roma's Dominant Form

AS Roma comes into this match in stellar form, having gone unbeaten in their last five matches. Their recent encounters have seen them secure two wins, most notably defeating Lecce 4-0 away and a strong performance at home against Atalanta ending 2-1. With an average of 2.20 goals scored per game in these fixtures, Roma's attacking prowess is evident. At home, they have been particularly formidable, averaging 2.67 goals per game while conceding just 1.00. However, they will be without M. Bah due to injury, a factor that might slightly impact their defensive structure.

Genoa's Struggles on the Road

Genoa, on the other hand, is grappling with a challenging season, languishing near the bottom of the table. Their recent form tells a concerning story, with only one win in their last five matches. Their sole victory came against Sudtirol, a narrow 1-0 win at home. On the road, their struggles are even more pronounced, having lost four out of their last five away matches. They have conceded an alarming average of 3.00 goals per game in these away fixtures while scoring just 0.60. Genoa will also be missing L. Venturino due to injury, which could further deplete their defensive options.

Prediction: Goals and More Goals

Given AS Roma's impressive home form and Genoa's frailty on the road, this match is likely to see a flurry of goals, particularly from the home side. Roma's average home scoring rate suggests they are well-equipped to exploit Genoa's defensive vulnerabilities. The most probable outcome here is a high-scoring affair, with the prediction focusing on the total goals market. A bet on "Total:Over: 2.5" goals seems appropriate, given both teams' recent scoring and conceding patterns. The head-to-head record further supports this, with past encounters often producing multiple goals.

For additional betting opportunities, consider the following: "Win 1" is a safe option given Roma's form and Genoa's struggles. "Total Team 1 Over: 1.5" goals is also likely, considering Roma's scoring record. On the opposite spectrum, "Total Team 2 Under: 1" aligns with Genoa's scoring difficulties. Lastly, "Handicap 1: 1" could be valuable, expecting Roma to win by more than a goal. Each of these predictions aligns with the data, suggesting a confidence score of 8 for the main event.

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
AS Roma
Home win
70%
Draw
No bet
19%
Genoa
Away win
11%
19.09 H Inter 2 — 2 D
14.09 A Torino 2 — 0 W
10.09 A Fenerbahçe 1 — 1 D
05.09 H Atalanta 2 — 1 W
31.08 A Lecce 4 — 0 W
02.10 A Rapid 0 — 2 L
20.09 A Parma 1 — 2 L
15.09 H Sudtirol 1 — 0 W
12.09 H Frosinone 1 — 1 D
04.09 H Como 1 — 4 L
08.03.2026 Genoa vs AS Roma 2 — 1
29.12.2025 AS Roma vs Genoa 3 — 1
17.01.2025 AS Roma vs Genoa 3 — 1
15.09.2024 Genoa vs AS Roma 1 — 1
19.05.2024 AS Roma vs Genoa 1 — 0

Injuries and Suspensions

AS Roma

+M. Bah

Genoa

+L. Venturino

Football Betting Tips

80% Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5
AS Roma's high scoring rate at home and Genoa's defensive struggles suggest a high-scoring game.
1.64
Odds
Win 1 @ 1.33 75%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5 @ 1.40 70%

Odds

AS Roma vs Genoa
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 1.41 5.58 10.05 Bet now
William Hill 1.33 4.80 8.50 Bet now
Bet365 1.33 4.75 9.50 Bet now
Marathonbet 1.33 5.30 9.50 Bet now
Betfair 1.25 5.50 10.00 Bet now
SBO 1.31 4.69 6.95 Bet now
1xBet 1.36 5.53 9.90 Bet now
Betano 1.35 5.10 9.00 Bet now
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