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🇵🇹 Primeira Liga · Portugal

Rio Ave VS Estrela Prediction and Results

Rio Ave
L L W L L
vs
3 – 3
Full Time · HT 1:1
13:45
14 Sep · Mon
Estrela
W D W D D
Referee: F. Verissimo
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
Total:Over: 2.5
80% confidence
2.08
Odds

Match Timeline

Rio Ave 3:3 Estrela
21'
Ianis StoicaGoal · Leandro Antonetti
26'
Max ScholzeYellow Card
Francisco PetrassoYellow Card
44'
Francisco PetrassoGoal · Diogo Bezerra
45+3'
53'
Abraham MarcusGoal · Max Scholze
Sebastian ClemensenSubstitution · Roland Galcik
54'
Roland GalcikGoal · Diogo Bezerra
56'
58'
Eddy DouéYellow Card
61'
Abraham MarcusGoal · Ianis Stoica
Miguel PatricíoSubstitution · Tamble Ulisses Folgado Monteiro
63'
63'
Eddy DouéSubstitution · Joan Jordan
João Tomé BaptistaSubstitution · Nelson Abbey
68'
Tamas NikitscherSubstitution · Malik Sellouki
68'
Pedro AmaralSubstitution · Marios Vrushai
68'
71'
Max ScholzeSubstitution · Kevin Hoog Jansson
72'
Santiago SerraSubstitution · Jefferson Encada
76'
Stefan LekovicYellow Card
Jalen BlesaGoal (Penalty)
78'
84'
Abraham MarcusSubstitution · Beni Souza
84'
Ianis StoicaSubstitution · Alisson Souza
Tamble Ulisses Folgado MonteiroYellow Card
90+1'

Match Data

Full-time statistics
38%
Ball Possession
62%
11
Total Shots
20
6
Shots on Target
6
3
Shots off Target
7
2
Blocked Shots
7
4
Shots Inside Box
14
7
Shots Outside Box
6
4
Corners
5
0
Offsides
2
16
Fouls
12
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
302
Total Passes
479
251
Accurate Passes
425

The Primeira Liga matchup between Rio Ave and Estrela promises to be an intriguing affair as both teams look to make a statement early in the season. On September 14, these two sides will face off, bringing contrasting forms and ambitions to what could be a captivating contest. With Rio Ave eager to climb up the league standings and Estrela aiming to maintain their position in the upper half, the stakes are high in what is expected to be a competitive game.

Rio Ave's Struggles and Hopes

Rio Ave currently finds themselves in 14th position in the league, reflecting a somewhat inconsistent start to their campaign. Their recent run of form has been patchy, with a notable 3-1 victory over Tondela being overshadowed by heavy defeats such as the 0-4 loss to Sporting CP and a 0-2 defeat at the hands of FC Porto. At home, Rio Ave has struggled to find consistency, recording just one win in their last five matches while managing to score an average of 1.00 goals per game and conceding 1.80 on their turf.

Despite these challenges, Rio Ave will look to capitalize on their head-to-head advantage over Estrela, having secured three wins in their last five encounters. Encouragingly for Rio Ave, they enter this match without any injuries or suspensions, allowing them to field their strongest lineup.

Estrela's Attacking Edge

Estrela has enjoyed a more promising start to the season, sitting in 8th position and boasting an impressive goal-scoring record. They have been prolific in front of goal, averaging 2.60 goals per game over their last five matches. This attacking prowess was on full display during their 4-2 victory against Al-Nassr. However, Estrela's defensive vulnerabilities are evident, having conceded an average of 2.00 goals per game in the same period.

Away from home, Estrela remains unbeaten in their last three outings, demonstrating resilience and the ability to score, with an average of 1.67 goals scored per game. Like their opponents, Estrela will be pleased to have a full squad available, with no injuries or suspensions to contend with.

Prediction and Betting Insight

Considering the form and statistics, this match has the ingredients for a high-scoring affair. Both Rio Ave and Estrela have been involved in games with plenty of goals, and their recent encounters suggest a similar pattern could emerge. The prediction for this clash leans towards "Total:Over: 2.5" as the main betting market, given the attacking capabilities of both sides and their defensive frailties. With Rio Ave's home games averaging 2.80 total goals and Estrela's away matches averaging 3.00, there is a strong case for expecting goals. Therefore, a confidence score of 8 out of 10 is assigned to this market.

Additional probable betting events include "Total:Over: 1.5" with a high probability of 80%, considering both teams' scoring trends. "Total Team 2 Over: 0.5" is likely at 75%, given Estrela's scoring consistency. The "1X" market shows a probability of 60%, reflecting Rio Ave's potential to leverage their home advantage. Lastly, "Total Team 1 Over: 0.5" with a 70% probability acknowledges Rio Ave's need to score at home.

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Rio Ave
Home win
35%
Draw
No bet
30%
Estrela
Away win
35%
06.09 A Santa Clara 0 — 4 L
28.08 H Sporting CP 0 — 4 L
22.08 A Estoril 2 — 0 W
15.08 H FC Porto 0 — 2 L
09.08 A GIL Vicente 0 — 1 L
10.09 H SC Braga 2 — 1 W
05.09 H Famalicao 2 — 2 D
30.08 A Nacional 3 — 2 W
15.08 A Alverca 2 — 2 D
08.08 H Sporting CP 2 — 2 D
15.03.2026 Rio Ave vs Estrela 2 — 1
25.10.2025 Estrela vs Rio Ave 1 — 2
05.05.2025 Rio Ave vs Estrela 2 — 0
23.12.2024 Estrela vs Rio Ave 1 — 0
14.04.2024 Estrela vs Rio Ave 2 — 2

Football Betting Tips

80% Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5
Both teams have shown a tendency to be involved in high-scoring games, and their recent form suggests a match with more than 2.5 goals is likely.
2.08
Odds
Total:Over: 1.5 @ 1.33 80%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5 @ 1.31 75%

Odds

Rio Ave vs Estrela
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 2.81 3.33 2.80 Bet now
William Hill 2.62 3.10 2.60 Bet now
Bet365 2.70 3.00 2.70 Bet now
Marathonbet 2.65 3.16 2.64 Bet now
Betfair 2.63 3.25 2.70 Bet now
BetVictor 2.60 3.13 2.55 Bet now
SBO 2.60 2.96 2.33 Bet now
1xBet 2.76 3.28 2.75 Bet now
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