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🇵🇹 Primeira Liga · Portugal

Estoril VS Casa Pia Prediction and Results

Estoril
L D L L L
vs
1 – 2
Full Time · HT 0:0
13:00
20 Sep · Sun
Casa Pia
L D L L L
Venue: Estádio António Coimbra da Mota Referee: Pedro Miguel Torres Ramalho
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
Total:Under: 2.0
80% confidence
2.88
Odds

Match Timeline

Estoril 1:2 Casa Pia
27'
Henrique AraújoPenalty Missed
Ismael SierraYellow Card
41'
Axel CamblanSubstitution · Jordan Arnolin
45'
45'
Henrique AraújoSubstitution · Alassana Jatta
Milan RobinSubstitution · Antef Tsoungui
60'
Nail OmerovicSubstitution · Rafik Guitane
60'
62'
David SousaYellow Card
65'
Mohamed Salah El BoukammiriSubstitution · Evans Maurin
65'
João PedroSubstitution · Benjamin Pauwels
Ricard Sanchez SendraGoal · Jordan Holsgrove
70'
72'
Selvi CluaGoal · Lawrence Ofori
74'
Selvi CluaSubstitution · Sebastián Pérez
Xavier Sintes EgeaSubstitution · Pedro Carvalho
80'
João CarvalhoSubstitution · André Lacximicant
80'
Yanis BegraouiYellow Card
82'
Jordan ArnolinYellow Card
85'
87'
João RegoSubstitution · Abdu Dafe
89'
Benjamin PauwelsGoal · Sebastián Pérez
90+5'
Alassana JattaYellow Card

Match Data

Full-time statistics
53%
Ball Possession
47%
14
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
3
6
Shots off Target
7
2
Blocked Shots
1
7
Shots Inside Box
7
7
Shots Outside Box
4
7
Corners
4
0
Offsides
3
7
Fouls
11
3
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
5
394
Total Passes
346
301
Accurate Passes
271

As Estoril prepares to welcome Casa Pia to the Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota on September 20, both teams find themselves in a challenging phase of the Primeira Liga season. Occupying the lower rungs of the league table, this match presents an opportunity for either side to gain some much-needed momentum. With Estoril sitting at 16th place and Casa Pia at the very bottom, the stakes are high for both clubs.

Estoril's Struggles and Home Resilience

Estoril has had a mixed run of form, resulting in a precarious position near the relegation zone. Recent performances have seen them secure only one win from their last five matches, with a concerning average of just 0.40 goals scored per game. Despite this, Estoril has shown resilience at home, drawing three of their last five matches at the Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, and conceding an average of 0.60 goals per game in these encounters. This defensive solidity at home could prove vital in their upcoming fixture against Casa Pia. Fortunately for Estoril, they have no current injury or suspension concerns, allowing them to field a full-strength squad.

Casa Pia's Quest for a Turnaround

Casa Pia's plight at the foot of the table is underscored by their dire form, having failed to score in their last five matches while conceding an alarming average of 2.20 goals per game. Their recent 0-7 drubbing at the hands of Benfica highlights their defensive vulnerabilities. Away from home, Casa Pia has struggled immensely, drawing just one match and losing four, with an average of 2.00 goals conceded per game. Much like their hosts, Casa Pia also has the advantage of a fully fit squad, but they will need to significantly improve their attacking output if they are to avoid another disappointing result.

Prediction: A Tactical Battle with Defensive Focus

Based on the recent form and statistics, a low-scoring match seems the most likely outcome when Estoril and Casa Pia meet. Both teams have struggled offensively, with Estoril averaging less than a goal per game at home and Casa Pia failing to find the net in any of their recent fixtures. Given these trends, a bet on "Total:Under: 2.0" goals appears to be the most prudent option, with a high confidence score of 8. Estoril's relatively stronger defense at home compared to Casa Pia's leaky away form suggests that the hosts might edge this encounter, but a draw is also a realistic possibility. Additional betting opportunities include "Total:Under: 2.5" goals with a 70% probability and "Total Team 1 Under: 1.5" goals, given Estoril’s recent scoring record. For Casa Pia, "Total Team 2 Under: 0.5" goals seems a likely event, reflecting their recent inability to score. Finally, given the evenly matched head-to-head history, another "X" (draw) result could occur with a 35% probability.

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Estoril
Home win
54%
Draw
No bet
26%
Casa Pia
Away win
20%
14.09 A SC Braga 0 — 1 L
07.09 H Arouca 0 — 0 D
31.08 A Benfica 1 — 2 L
22.08 H Rio Ave 0 — 2 L
16.08 A Nacional 0 — 2 L
12.09 H FC Porto 1 — 4 L
06.09 A Vitória SC 0 — 0 D
30.08 H Moreirense 0 — 1 L
24.08 A GIL Vicente 0 — 2 L
17.08 H Benfica 0 — 7 L
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Football Betting Tips

80% Confidence
Total:Under: 2.0
Both teams have struggled offensively with Estoril averaging less than a goal per game at home and Casa Pia failing to score in their last five matches.
2.88
Odds
Total:Under: 2.5 @ 1.97 70%
Total Team 1 Under: 1.5 @ 1.98 65%

Odds

Estoril vs Casa Pia
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 1.82 3.95 4.80 Bet now
William Hill 1.73 3.60 4.50 Bet now
Bet365 1.73 3.75 4.75 Bet now
Marathonbet 1.70 3.75 4.55 Bet now
Betfair 1.75 3.80 4.50 Bet now
BetVictor 1.67 3.70 4.50 Bet now
SBO 1.74 3.46 4.13 Bet now
1xBet 1.77 3.90 4.74 Bet now
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