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🇧🇷 Serie A · Brazil

Atletico-MG VS Bahia Prediction and Betting Tips

Atletico-MG
W W L W W
vs
22:30
21 Jul · Tue
Bahia
W L W W L
Venue: MRV Arena Referee: Davi de Oliveira Lacerda, Brazil
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
Total:Over: 2.0
70% confidence
1.43
Odds

As Atletico-MG prepares to face Bahia on July 21 at the MRV Arena, fans are set for an intriguing Serie A clash. Atletico-MG, currently sitting in 9th place, will look to leverage their recent strong form, while Bahia, 6th on the table, aims to overcome their away struggles. This matchup promises a captivating contest with significant implications for both sides in their quest for higher league positions.

Atletico-MG's Steady Ascent

Atletico-MG has found a rhythm lately, showing resilience and tactical discipline. Their recent form is commendable, with three wins in their last five matches, including a convincing 3-1 victory over Mirassol. At home, they have been relatively strong with three wins, a draw, and a loss in their last five outings, scoring an average of 1.40 goals per game. Defensively, they have been solid, conceding only 0.40 goals on average in their recent matches. This strong defensive record could be a decisive factor against Bahia. Fortunately for Atletico-MG, they have no injury or suspension concerns ahead of this match, allowing them to field their best possible lineup.

Bahia's Away Day Woes

Bahia's journey this season has been a tale of two halves; while their home form has been robust, their performances on the road have been less convincing. Despite scoring 1.80 goals on average in their last five matches, they have struggled away from home, failing to secure a win in their last five away games. They have conceded an average of 2.20 goals per game on the road, which could pose a significant challenge against a defensively sound Atletico-MG. Bahia will need to address these defensive frailties if they are to take anything from this fixture. Like Atletico-MG, Bahia also enters the match without injury or suspension concerns, allowing them to deploy their first-choice squad.

Prediction: A Tactical Battle

With both teams eager to climb the Serie A table, this matchup between Atletico-MG and Bahia is set to be a tactical battle. While Atletico-MG’s solid home performances and defensive prowess give them a slight edge, Bahia’s attacking capabilities cannot be underestimated. The prediction for this match leans towards a high-scoring affair, given both teams' recent goal-scoring records. The most likely outcome might be "Total:Over: 2.0" due to Atletico-MG's consistent scoring at home and Bahia's ability to find the net, even in defeat. However, Atletico-MG's defensive record might just tip the scales in their favor. With this in mind, the additional betting events include the likes of "Total:Over: 2.5" and "Total Team 1 Over: 1.5" as attractive options, reflecting the likelihood of a dynamic encounter.

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Atletico-MG
Home win
44%
Draw
No bet
28%
Bahia
Away win
28%
31.05 A Vasco DA Gama 1 — 0 W
27.05 H Puerto Cabello 1 — 0 W
24.05 A Corinthians 0 — 1 L
21.05 H Cienciano 2 — 0 W
16.05 H Mirassol 3 — 1 W
17.07 H Chapecoense-sc 2 — 0 W
12.07 A Fluminense 0 — 2 L
04.07 H Atletico Torque 4 — 1 W
30.05 H Botafogo 2 — 1 W
25.05 A Coritiba 2 — 3 L
05.11.2025 Atletico-MG vs Bahia 3 — 0
13.07.2025 Bahia vs Atletico-MG 2 — 1
15.09.2024 Bahia vs Atletico-MG 3 — 0
02.06.2024 Atletico-MG vs Bahia 1 — 1
07.12.2023 Bahia vs Atletico-MG 4 — 1

Injuries and Suspensions

Atletico-MG

+Gustavo Scarpa
+I. Roman
+Maycon
+Patrick Silva

Bahia

+David Duarte
+Leo Vieira
+Luciano Juba

Football Betting Tips

70% Confidence
Total:Over: 2.0
Given Atletico-MG's solid scoring form at home and Bahia’s tendency to both score and concede away, a game with at least two goals is highly probable.
1.43
Odds
1X @ 1.31 75%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5 @ 1.37 70%

Odds

Atletico-MG vs Bahia
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 2.19 3.45 3.66 Bet now
William Hill 2.10 3.10 3.40 Bet now
Bet365 2.10 3.30 3.60 Bet now
Marathonbet 2.08 3.30 3.46 Bet now
Unibet 2.07 3.30 3.60 Bet now
Betfair 2.05 3.30 3.50 Bet now
BetVictor 2.10 3.40 3.40 Bet now
Pinnacle 2.14 3.39 3.61 Bet now
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