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🇧🇷 Serie A · Brazil

Gremio VS Fluminense Prediction and Betting Tips

Gremio
L L W L W
vs
21:30
26 Jul · Sun
Fluminense
D W W D W
Referee: E. Batista
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
Total:Over: 2.5
70% confidence
1.94
Odds

As Serie A action continues, Gremio will face off against Fluminense in a clash that promises excitement and intrigue. Scheduled for July 26th, both teams are set to meet at an undecided venue, and the stakes are high as Gremio looks to climb up from their current position in the league, while Fluminense aims to solidify their spot among the top teams.

Gremio's recent form has been inconsistent, with a mixed bag of results that sees them sitting in the 15th position on the league table. Their last five matches have delivered two wins and three losses, with a notable victory against Cruzeiro at home. When playing at home, Gremio has averaged two goals per game, yet they have also conceded the same amount, indicating a vulnerability in their defense. Away from home, their performance has been slightly better, with three wins in their last five outings, showing their capability to score an average of 1.8 goals while conceding considerably less. Importantly, Gremio head into this matchup with a full squad, as no players are sidelined due to injury or suspension.

Fluminense, positioned third in the league, has shown formidable form, particularly in their home games. They have scored an impressive 2.4 goals per game on average over their last five matches, including a commanding 6-1 victory against Nova Iguaçu. However, their away form tells a different story, with no wins from their last five away games, where they have only managed to score an average of 0.4 goals per match. Despite these struggles on the road, Fluminense's defense remains robust, having conceded only 0.8 goals per game in recent outings. Like Gremio, Fluminense will also benefit from a fully available squad, with no injuries or suspensions affecting their lineup.

Prediction suggests that this match could hinge on Gremio's home advantage against Fluminense's defensive prowess. While Gremio has shown potential in their attacking play at home, Fluminense's resilience in defense could be the deciding factor. The head-to-head statistics heavily favor Fluminense, who have emerged victorious in four of their last five encounters against Gremio. Given these dynamics, a bet on both teams scoring seems a plausible outcome. Gremio's ability to find the net at home, paired with Fluminense's higher goal-scoring average, supports this prediction. With both teams having full squads to choose from, the match is likely to be a balanced affair, making betting on a draw or a game with fewer goals another appealing option for this fixture.

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Gremio
Home win
36%
Draw
No bet
28%
Fluminense
Away win
36%
23.07 A Bolívar 2 — 3 L
17.07 A Mirassol 1 — 2 L
12.07 H Cruzeiro 3 — 1 W
04.07 H Chapecoense-sc 1 — 2 L
27.06 A Cascavel 2 — 1 W
17.07 H RB Bragantino 1 — 1 D
12.07 H Bahia 2 — 0 W
08.07 H Nova Iguaçu 6 — 1 W
31.05 A Cruzeiro 1 — 1 D
28.05 H Deportivo La Guaira 3 — 1 W
28.01.2026 Fluminense vs Gremio 2 — 1
03.12.2025 Gremio vs Fluminense 1 — 2
03.08.2025 Fluminense vs Gremio 1 — 0
02.11.2024 Fluminense vs Gremio 2 — 2
20.08.2024 Fluminense vs Gremio 2 — 1

Injuries and Suspensions

Gremio

+L. Perez
+Marlon

Fluminense

+J. Millan
+Matheus Reis
+Vitor Eudes
John Kennedy

Football Betting Tips

70% Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5
Both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede goals, with Gremio averaging 2 goals at home and Fluminense scoring 2.4 goals on average in recent matches.
1.94
Odds
Total:Over: 1.5 @ 1.29 80%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5 @ 1.29 70%

Odds

Gremio vs Fluminense
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 2.77 3.35 2.75 Bet now
William Hill 2.60 3.10 2.60 Bet now
Bet365 2.70 3.25 2.62 Bet now
Marathonbet 2.65 3.22 2.60 Bet now
Unibet 2.55 3.30 2.70 Bet now
Betfair 2.63 3.30 2.60 Bet now
BetVictor 2.60 3.30 2.60 Bet now
Pinnacle 2.72 3.30 2.65 Bet now
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