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🌍 UEFA Nations League · Europe

Sweden VS Poland Prediction and Betting Tips

Sweden
L D L W D
vs
14:45
28 Sep · Mon
Poland
D L
Referee: S. Vincic
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
Total:Over: 2.5
80% confidence
1.77
Odds

As Sweden prepares to face Poland in the UEFA Nations League match, both teams will be eager to secure a victory to set a positive tone for their campaigns. The clash, scheduled for September 28, 2026, promises to be an intriguing encounter given the recent form and head-to-head history between these two European sides. While the venue remains undisclosed, the anticipation around this matchup is palpable as both teams look to overcome recent challenges.

Sweden's home form has been a beacon of hope amidst their mixed recent performances. In their last five games, Sweden showcased an attacking prowess with an average of 1.80 goals scored per match. Despite facing tough opponents like France and the Netherlands, they managed a standout 5-1 victory against Tunisia and a 2-2 draw with Greece. Their home performances have been particularly encouraging, with an impressive average of 3.50 goals scored and only 1.50 conceded. Notably, Sweden will enter this match without any injury or suspension concerns, allowing them to field their strongest lineup.

Poland, on the other hand, comes into the match with a less favorable recent record. Their last five matches have seen them struggle to find form, with a 0-2 loss to Ukraine highlighting their defensive vulnerabilities. Poland's attack has averaged just 1.00 goal per game, while their defense has conceded an average of 2.00 goals. As they have yet to play an away match in the recent period, their form away from home remains an unknown quantity. Like Sweden, Poland will have the advantage of a full squad, free from injuries or suspensions, as they aim to reverse their fortunes.

In considering the prediction for this match, the historical head-to-head record slightly favors Sweden, who have won two of their last three encounters against Poland. Both teams have shown a tendency to concede goals, suggesting that this match could see several goals scored. The betting market suggests that a high-scoring affair is likely, making "Total:Over: 2.5" the main prediction for this clash, given Sweden's strong goal-scoring form at home and Poland's defensive frailties. With Sweden's attacking record and Poland's recent struggles, this outcome seems probable, with a confidence score of 8. Additionally, the likelihood of Sweden maintaining their scoring form at home makes "Total Team 1 Over: 1.5" a viable prediction, alongside "Total Team 2 Over: 0.5" as Poland will aim to break their scoring duck away from home. The possibility of a draw should not be discounted, introducing "X" as a potential outcome, with "Total:Over: 3.0" being another consideration should both teams find their attacking rhythm.

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Sweden
Home win
47%
Draw
No bet
28%
Poland
Away win
25%
30.06 A France 0 — 3 L
25.06 A Japan 1 — 1 D
20.06 A Netherlands 1 — 5 L
14.06 H Tunisia 5 — 1 W
04.06 H Greece 2 — 2 D
03.06 H Nigeria 2 — 2 D
31.05 H Ukraine 0 — 2 L
31.03.2026 Sweden vs Poland 3 — 2
29.03.2022 Poland vs Sweden 2 — 0
23.06.2021 Sweden vs Poland 3 — 2

Football Betting Tips

80% Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5
Sweden's strong attacking form at home and Poland's defensive struggles suggest a high-scoring match.
1.77
Odds
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5 @ 1.96 75%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5 @ 1.38 65%

Odds

Sweden vs Poland
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 2.02 3.45 3.87 Bet now
William Hill 1.95 3.25 3.80 Bet now
Betfair 1.90 3.40 3.60 Bet now
1xBet 1.97 3.25 3.82 Bet now
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