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🌍 UEFA Nations League · Europe

Portugal VS Norway Prediction and Results

Portugal
W W W L W
vs
2 – 1
Full Time · HT 1:1
14:45
04 Oct · Sun
Norway
L L W L W
Venue: Estádio do Dragão Referee: Maurizio Mariani
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
Total:Over: 2.5
70% confidence
1.36
Odds

Match Timeline

Portugal 2:1 Norway
João CanceloYellow Card
12'
36'
Kristoffer AjerGoal · Martin Odegaard ⚽
⚽ João CanceloGoal · Nuno Mendes
38'
⇆ João CanceloSubstitution · Diogo Dalot
63'
⇆ João PalhinhaSubstitution · Rúben Neves
63'
67'
Erling HaalandSubstitution · Jörgen Strand Larsen ⇆
74'
Antonio NusaSubstitution · Oscar Bobb ⇆
⚽ Gonçalo RamosGoal · Joao Felix
79'
Francisco ConceicaoYellow Card
86'
Francisco ConceicaoRed Card
86'
⇆ VitinhaSubstitution · Bernardo Silva
86'
87'
Patrick BergSubstitution · Thelo Aasgaard ⇆
Bruno FernandesYellow Card
88'
⇆ Joao FelixSubstitution · Nuno Tavares
90+2'
⇆ Bruno FernandesSubstitution · Francisco Trincão
90+2'

Match Data

Full-time statistics
59%
Ball Possession
41%
20
Total Shots
9
7
Shots on Target
3
8
Shots off Target
4
5
Blocked Shots
2
11
Shots Inside Box
6
9
Shots Outside Box
3
6
Corners
4
2
Offsides
2
8
Fouls
7
2
Yellow Cards
0
1
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5
496
Total Passes
351
433
Accurate Passes
274

As Portugal prepares to face Norway in their upcoming UEFA Nations League clash on October 4, 2026, fans are eager to see how these two competitive sides will fare against each other. The encounter promises to be an exciting display of European football talent, with both teams showing strengths and vulnerabilities in recent matches.

Portugal’s Formidable Home Advantage

Portugal comes into this match with a solid record at home, having secured three wins and a draw in their last five home games. Their defense has been particularly impressive, conceding just 0.60 goals on average per match. This defensive stability, coupled with their ability to score an average of 1.80 goals per game at home, makes Portugal a strong contender in this fixture. Furthermore, they have no injury or suspension concerns, allowing them to field a full-strength squad. Their recent victory over Norway, where they emerged 2-1 winners, will also boost their confidence as they look to replicate that success.

Norway’s Scoring Prowess on the Road

Norway, on the other hand, has shown a propensity for scoring, especially in away games, where they average two goals per match. Despite this attacking flair, their defense has been somewhat porous, conceding an average of 1.60 goals per match in their last five outings. Norway's victory streak on the road includes triumphs against formidable opponents like Brazil and Ivory Coast, which will give them hope as they travel to face Portugal. With no injuries or suspensions, Norway will aim to capitalize on their scoring ability to challenge Portugal's sturdy defense.

Prediction: An Intriguing Encounter Awaits

Given the recent form of both teams, the prediction points towards a match that could see goals from both sides. Portugal's strong home record and defensive resilience are counterbalanced by Norway's potent attack, particularly in away fixtures. The most likely outcome appears to be a match where both teams find the net, offering an intriguing dynamic for spectators. Statistically, a bet on "Total:Over: 2.5" goals could be the most rewarding, considering both teams' average goals scored and conceded match-ups. With Portugal's previous head-to-head win over Norway and their defensive sturdiness, they might edge out as slight favorites, but Norway's ability to score on the road certainly poses a significant challenge.

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Portugal
Home win
57%
Draw
No bet
23%
Norway
Away win
20%
01.10 A Denmark 4 — 2 W
27.09 A Norway 2 — 1 W
24.09 H Wales 1 — 0 W
06.07 H Spain 0 — 1 L
02.07 H Croatia 2 — 1 W
01.10 A Wales 1 — 2 L
27.09 H Portugal 1 — 2 L
24.09 H Denmark 3 — 2 W
11.07 H England 1 — 2 L
05.07 A Brazil 2 — 1 W
27.09.2026 Norway vs Portugal 1 — 2

Football Betting Tips

70% Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5
Portugal's solid home scoring and Norway's strong away attack suggest a high-scoring match.
1.36
Odds
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5 @ 1.32 75%
1X @ 1.23 70%

Odds

Portugal vs Norway
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 1.68 4.70 5.00 Bet now
William Hill 1.60 4.00 4.40 Bet now
Bet365 1.62 4.50 4.75 Bet now
Marathonbet 1.63 4.65 4.95 Bet now
Betfair 1.62 4.40 4.75 Bet now
BetVictor 1.60 4.50 4.60 Bet now
SBO 1.55 4.00 4.35 Bet now
1xBet 1.63 4.64 4.94 Bet now
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