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🌍 UEFA Nations League · Europe

Italy VS Türkiye Prediction and Betting Tips

Italy
D W L W W
vs
14:45
05 Oct · Mon
Türkiye
L L L W L
Venue: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara Referee: Szymon Marciniak
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
Total:Over: 2.5
70% confidence
1.48
Odds

As Italy prepares to face Türkiye in the UEFA Nations League, both teams are looking to capitalize on their current form and secure a vital win. Italy, sitting third in the league, is coming off a series of mixed performances, while Türkiye, in fourth place, seeks redemption after a recent defeat to Italy. The stage is set for an intriguing encounter that promises to be a test of tactical prowess and resilience.

Italy enters this match with a strong away record, having won their last three away fixtures. Their recent performances have been bolstered by a solid defensive line, conceding an average of only 0.75 goals per match in their last five games. Despite their away success, Italy's home form has been less impressive, with a loss to Belgium marking their only home match in this period, where they failed to score. Nonetheless, Italy’s ability to perform under pressure away from home could prove decisive. Fortunately for Italy, they have no injuries or suspensions, allowing them to field their strongest lineup against Türkiye.

Türkiye, on the other hand, has struggled to maintain consistency. Their recent 1:4 loss to Italy highlighted defensive vulnerabilities, conceding an average of 2 goals per game over their last five matches. Despite these challenges, Türkiye has shown flashes of attacking potential, notably in their 3:2 victory over the USA. However, their away form remains a concern with a single win in recent outings. With no injuries or suspensions, Türkiye will aim to tighten their defense and exploit any openings in Italy’s lineup.

In terms of prediction, Italy’s superior record against Türkiye gives them a psychological edge. The Italians have dominated past encounters, winning three of the last four matches. Given Italy's strong away form and Türkiye's defensive struggles, this match is likely to see multiple goals. The most probable betting event is "Total:Over: 2.5", as both teams are capable of finding the net, and Italy's recent form suggests they will aim to assert their dominance early. The confidence score for this prediction is 7, reflecting Italy’s recent scoring ability and Türkiye’s defensive record. Additional betting events include "Win 1" with a probability of 60%, due to Italy’s head-to-head advantage, "Total Team 1 Over: 1.5" at 65%, given Italy's scoring form, "Total Team 2 Over: 0.5" at 55%, recognizing Türkiye’s potential to score, and "Total:Over: 1.5" at 75%, indicating a high-scoring affair.

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Italy
Home win
66%
Draw
No bet
20%
Türkiye
Away win
14%
02.10 A France 1 — 1 D
28.09 A Türkiye 4 — 1 W
25.09 H Belgium 0 — 2 L
07.06 A Greece 1 — 0 W
03.06 A Luxembourg 1 — 0 W
02.10 A Belgium 0 — 3 L
28.09 H Italy 1 — 4 L
25.09 H France 0 — 1 L
25.06 H USA 3 — 2 W
19.06 H Paraguay 0 — 1 L
28.09.2026 Türkiye vs Italy 1 — 4
04.06.2024 Italy vs Türkiye 0 — 0
29.03.2022 Türkiye vs Italy 2 — 3
11.06.2021 Türkiye vs Italy 0 — 3

Football Betting Tips

70% Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5
Italy's strong away form and Türkiye's defensive vulnerabilities suggest a high-scoring match.
1.48
Odds
Total:Over: 1.5 @ 1.14 75%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5 @ 1.41 65%

Odds

Italy vs Türkiye
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 1.49 5.55 7.55 Bet now
William Hill 1.36 4.60 6.50 Bet now
Bet365 1.40 5.50 6.50 Bet now
Marathonbet 1.44 5.05 7.20 Bet now
Betfair 1.36 5.00 7.50 Bet now
BetVictor 1.36 5.00 7.50 Bet now
SBO 1.37 4.76 6.76 Bet now
1xBet 1.44 5.05 7.20 Bet now
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