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🌍 UEFA Nations League · Europe

Estonia VS Luxembourg Prediction and Results

Estonia
D D L D
vs
1 – 0
Full Time · HT 1:0
12:00
03 Oct · Sat
Luxembourg
L W W L
Venue: A. Le Coq Arena Referee: Pawel Raczkowski
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
Total:Under: 2.5
70% confidence
1.50
Odds

Match Timeline

Estonia 1:0 Luxembourg
⚽ Rasmus PeetsonGoal
5'
29'
Enes MahmutovicYellow Card
Jürgen HennYellow Card
43'
62'
Aiman DardariSubstitution · Hamza Kadamani ⇆
62'
Enzo dos SantosSubstitution · Sebastien Thill ⇆
⇆ Mattias MännilaanSubstitution · karel mustmaa
66'
68'
Omar NatamiYellow Card
⇆ Kevor PalumetsSubstitution · Markus Soomets
72'
73'
Vincent ThillSubstitution · Timothé Rupil ⇆
Märten KuuskYellow Card
73'
78'
Vahid SelimovićYellow Card
⇆ Mattias KäitSubstitution · Mihkel Ainsalu
80'
Karol MetsYellow Card
82'
83'
Florian BohnertSubstitution · Mathias Olesen ⇆
83'
Enes MahmutovicSubstitution · Eldin Dzogovic ⇆
84'
Leandro BarreiroYellow Card
85'
Eldin DzogovicYellow Card
87'
Mathias OlesenYellow Card
Markus PoomYellow Card
88'

Match Data

Full-time statistics
46%
Ball Possession
54%
14
Total Shots
8
9
Shots on Target
2
1
Shots off Target
4
4
Blocked Shots
2
10
Shots Inside Box
4
4
Shots Outside Box
4
7
Corners
3
4
Offsides
2
13
Fouls
12
3
Yellow Cards
6
0
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
8
446
Total Passes
529
394
Accurate Passes
479

As the UEFA Nations League continues to unfold, the upcoming clash between Estonia and Luxembourg is set to offer an intriguing encounter. Both teams have had contrasting fortunes in their recent matches, and this game presents an opportunity for either side to gain crucial momentum. Set to be played on October 3, 2026, this fixture promises to deliver an engaging contest despite the unknown venue.

Estonia's Struggle for Form and Goals

Estonia enters this match with a pressing need to improve their current form. Their recent performances have been less than inspiring, with a series of five matches yielding only one victory. A draw against Iceland and a loss to Rwanda highlight their struggles. Estonia has managed to score an average of only 0.67 goals per match while conceding 1.33, a statistic that underscores their defensive vulnerabilities. In terms of team composition, Estonia will be relieved to have a full squad available, with no injuries or suspensions affecting their lineup. However, their lack of home advantage, as indicated by their absence of wins in recent fixtures, might pose a challenge.

Luxembourg's Confidence on the Rise

Luxembourg, on the other hand, arrives with a spring in their step following a commendable run of results. Victories over Bulgaria and Albania in their last five matches have bolstered their confidence. Luxembourg has been more prolific in front of goal, averaging one goal per match while maintaining a solid defensive record with only 0.67 goals conceded on average. Their away form has been particularly impressive, securing two wins without any losses and scoring 1.50 goals on average. Similar to Estonia, Luxembourg also enjoys a full squad with no players sidelined due to injuries or suspensions. Their recent form, particularly away from home, suggests they will be optimistic about their chances in this fixture.

Prediction: A Cagey Encounter with Luxembourg Edging It

Considering the recent form and statistical trends, this match is likely to be a closely fought encounter. Estonia's inability to score freely, coupled with Luxembourg's robust defensive displays, suggests that goals might be at a premium. The prediction for this match leans towards a narrow victory for Luxembourg, given their superior recent away performances and attacking efficiency compared to Estonia. The most probable betting event is "Total:Under: 2.5," as both teams have shown a tendency for matches with fewer goals. With a confidence score of 7, this market reflects the likelihood of a low-scoring affair. Additional betting opportunities include Luxembourg's strong away form indicating favorable odds for "X2" and "Total Team 2 Over: 0.5," with the potential for a clean sheet making "Total Team 1 Under: 1" a viable option. Lastly, given the scoring patterns, "Total:Under: 2.0" also presents a plausible scenario.

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Estonia
Home win
31%
Draw
No bet
32%
Luxembourg
Away win
37%
29.09 A Bulgaria 0 — 0 D
26.09 A Iceland 1 — 1 D
30.03 A Rwanda 0 — 2 L
27.03 A Kenya 1 — 1 D
29.09 H Iceland 0 — 3 L
26.09 A Bulgaria 2 — 1 W
06.06 A Albania 1 — 0 W
03.06 H Italy 0 — 1 L

Football Betting Tips

70% Confidence
Total:Under: 2.5
Both teams have shown a tendency for matches with fewer goals, with Estonia struggling to score and Luxembourg maintaining strong defensive records.
1.50
Odds
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5 @ 1.39 70%
X2 @ 1.37 65%

Odds

Estonia vs Luxembourg
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 3.13 3.07 2.72 Bet now
William Hill 2.90 2.80 2.50 Bet now
Bet365 3.00 3.00 2.55 Bet now
Marathonbet 3.04 2.98 2.64 Bet now
Betfair 2.88 2.88 2.45 Bet now
BetVictor 2.90 3.00 2.55 Bet now
SBO 2.78 2.84 2.38 Bet now
1xBet 3.08 3.02 2.67 Bet now
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