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🌍 UEFA Nations League · Europe

Bulgaria VS Iceland Prediction and Betting Tips

Bulgaria
W L D L D
vs
14:45
13 Nov · Fri
Iceland
D W W D L
Referee: Balazs Berke, Hungary
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
Total:Under: 2.5
80% confidence
1.96
Odds

As the UEFA Nations League returns, Bulgaria hosts Iceland in what promises to be a competitive encounter on November 13, 2026. Both teams are eager to improve upon their recent performances, with Bulgaria looking to leverage their home ground advantage despite a challenging run of form, while Iceland aims to continue their positive trajectory following a convincing victory in their previous meeting.

Bulgaria Looking to Reverse Fortunes

Bulgaria enters this match with a mixed bag of results, having struggled particularly at home, where they haven't secured a win in their last three outings. Their recent form highlights a resilient squad, capable of strong performances away from home, as demonstrated by their 2-0 victory over Luxembourg. Averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.40 conceded over their last five matches, they face a critical test against Iceland. Despite the challenges, Bulgaria benefits from a full squad with no injuries or suspensions, which could be pivotal as they seek to overturn their recent 3-0 defeat to Iceland.

Iceland Aiming for Consistency

Iceland arrives in Bulgaria buoyed by a solid string of performances, including a decisive 3-0 win against the same opponents earlier this campaign. Their recent form shows promise, with a balanced record of 1.40 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per match. While their away performance has been less impressive, with two draws and two losses, their ability to score and defend efficiently on foreign soil remains noteworthy. Like Bulgaria, Iceland will field a full-strength team, free from injuries and suspensions, which should aid their quest for consistency and points on the road.

Prediction: Defensive Battle on the Horizon

Given the recent head-to-head result and both teams’ current form, this match is shaping up to be a closely contested affair. Iceland's defensive solidity, paired with Bulgaria's struggle to score at home, suggests a low-scoring game is on the cards. The most likely betting event could be the "Total:Under: 2.5" market, given Iceland's ability to restrict opponents and Bulgaria's home scoring challenges. With a Confidence Score of 8, this prediction aligns with the statistical trends observed in both teams' recent games. Additionally, considering both teams' defensive capabilities, markets like "Total:Under: 3.0" and a potential draw ("X") offer reasonable probabilities, emphasizing a cautious yet strategic approach from both sides.

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Bulgaria
Home win
24%
Draw
No bet
25%
Iceland
Away win
51%
06.10 A Luxembourg 2 — 0 W
03.10 A Iceland 0 — 3 L
29.09 H Estonia 0 — 0 D
26.09 H Luxembourg 1 — 2 L
05.06 A Moldova 2 — 2 D
06.10 A Estonia 0 — 0 D
03.10 H Bulgaria 3 — 0 W
29.09 A Luxembourg 3 — 0 W
26.09 H Estonia 1 — 1 D
09.06 A Argentina 0 — 3 L
03.10.2026 Iceland vs Bulgaria 3 — 0

Football Betting Tips

80% Confidence
Total:Under: 2.5
Both teams have shown defensive resilience, and Bulgaria's home scoring issues suggest a low-scoring match.
1.96
Odds
Total:Under: 3.0 @ 1.46 75%
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5 @ 1.83 70%

Odds

Bulgaria vs Iceland
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 3.89 3.80 1.84 Bet now
1xBet 3.84 3.75 1.79 Bet now
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