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🌍 UEFA Nations League · Europe

Azerbaijan VS Lithuania Prediction and Results

Azerbaijan
D D W W L
vs
1 – 0
Full Time · HT 1:0
09:00
04 Oct · Sun
Lithuania
W D W L W
Venue: Bakcell Arena Referee: Gustavo Correia
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
X
70% confidence
2.96
Odds

Match Timeline

Azerbaijan 1:0 Lithuania
⚽ Abdulakh khaybulaevGoal · Tural Bayramov
25'
Abdulakh khaybulaevYellow Card
33'
43'
Modestas VorobjovasYellow Card
⇆ Tural BayramovSubstitution · Vüsal İsgändärli
45'
45'
Modestas VorobjovasSubstitution · Lukas Michelbrink ⇆
45'
Edgaras UtkusSubstitution · Kipras Kazukolovas ⇆
Ayxan AbbasovYellow Card
51'
54'
Artur DolžnikovYellow Card
Vüsal İsgändärliYellow Card
57'
⇆ Abdulakh khaybulaevSubstitution · Renat Dadaşov
64'
⇆ Oruc MəmmədovSubstitution · Emil Safarov
64'
67'
Adrian LickunasSubstitution · Motiejus Burba ⇆
68'
Vykintas SlivkaSubstitution · Eligijus Jankauskas ⇆
⇆ Aleksey IsaevSubstitution · C. Nuriyev
80'
83'
Rokas LekiatasSubstitution · Ignas Venckus ⇆
⇆ Tellur MutallimovSubstitution · Elvin Badalov
88'
Elvin BadalovYellow Card
90+2'
90+7'
Eligijus JankauskasYellow Card
90+7'
A. KučysRed Card

Match Data

Full-time statistics
38%
Ball Possession
62%
13
Total Shots
13
7
Shots on Target
3
4
Shots off Target
4
2
Blocked Shots
6
7
Shots Inside Box
7
6
Shots Outside Box
6
2
Corners
5
1
Offsides
1
14
Fouls
9
3
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
6
326
Total Passes
518
222
Accurate Passes
408

As Azerbaijan prepares to face Lithuania in the UEFA Nations League on October 4, 2026, both teams will be looking to secure a crucial victory. Held at an undisclosed venue, this match promises to be a tightly contested encounter given the similar form both sides have exhibited recently. With no players missing from either squad due to injury or suspension, both teams are expected to field their strongest line-ups.

Azerbaijan's Steady Home Form

Azerbaijan enters this match with a commendable home record, having secured four wins in their last five outings at home. Their ability to score an average of 2.00 goals per game on home soil demonstrates their attacking prowess. Despite a minor setback against Malta, where they lost 0-2, Azerbaijan has generally been solid defensively, conceding just 1.00 goal per match at home. Over their last five matches across all venues, Azerbaijan has averaged 1.00 goal scored and 1.00 goal conceded, maintaining a balanced performance. While their away form has seen them draw their only match, their home advantage could play a significant role in this upcoming fixture.

Lithuania's Impressive Away Form

Lithuania, on the other hand, has shown remarkable form on the road, recording two wins in their last two away games. With an average of 2.00 goals scored per away match and an impressive defensive record of conceding no goals, Lithuania's away performances have been stellar. In their last five matches overall, Lithuania has managed to score 1.25 goals per game while conceding 0.75, showcasing their efficiency in both attack and defense. Although their home results have been less impressive, their ability to perform under pressure away from home makes them a formidable opponent for Azerbaijan.

Prediction: A Tightly Contested Match

Considering the current form of both teams, this encounter is likely to be closely matched. The two previous head-to-head meetings ended in draws, and both teams have shown resilience in their recent performances. Given Lithuania's strong away form and Azerbaijan's solid home record, a draw appears to be the most probable outcome. This prediction is supported by their last meeting, which ended in a 1-1 draw. Thus, for bettors, the market "X" (draw) offers significant value, with a Confidence Score of 7. Additional betting opportunities may include markets such as "Total:Under: 2.5" given the defensive strengths both teams have displayed, and "Total Team 1 Over: 0.5" as Azerbaijan has consistently scored at home. In summary, while both teams have the capability to snatch a win, a draw remains the most likely result.

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Azerbaijan
Home win
40%
Draw
No bet
31%
Lithuania
Away win
29%
01.10 H Liechtenstein 0 — 0 D
27.09 A Lithuania 1 — 1 D
23.09 H Tajikistan 1 — 0 W
09.06 H San Marino 2 — 1 W
05.06 H Malta 0 — 2 L
30.09 H Andorra 3 — 0 W
27.09 H Azerbaijan 1 — 1 D
24.09 A Liechtenstein 2 — 0 W
29.03 H Georgia 0 — 2 L
26.03 A Moldova 2 — 0 W
27.09.2026 Lithuania vs Azerbaijan 1 — 1
25.03.2019 Azerbaijan vs Lithuania 0 — 0

Football Betting Tips

70% Confidence
X
Both teams have shown balanced performances recently, and their last head-to-head ended in a draw.
2.96
Odds
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5 @ 1.36 80%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5 @ 1.53 75%

Odds

Azerbaijan vs Lithuania
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 2.47 3.18 3.41 Bet now
William Hill 2.25 2.88 3.20 Bet now
Bet365 2.38 3.10 3.10 Bet now
Marathonbet 2.39 3.10 3.32 Bet now
Betfair 2.30 2.80 3.20 Bet now
BetVictor 2.38 3.00 3.25 Bet now
SBO 2.26 2.73 2.78 Bet now
1xBet 2.42 3.13 3.36 Bet now
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