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🇹🇷 Turkish Super League · Turkey

Erzurumspor FK VS Samsunspor Prediction and Results

Erzurumspor FK
L W D L L
vs
1 – 0
Full Time · HT 1:0
10:00
20 Sep · Sun
Samsunspor
L L L W D
Referee: A. B. Taskinsoy
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
Total:Over: 2.5
70% confidence
2.15
Odds

Match Timeline

Erzurumspor FK 1:0 Samsunspor
M. CardosoYellow Card
18'
E. OwusuYellow Card
33'
M. CardosoGoal
45'
46'
S. JarjuSubstitution · T. Coulibaly
M. RodriguezSubstitution · S. Akgun
57'
64'
S. OnurYellow Card
65'
E. WattSubstitution · A. Sekongo
E. TozluSubstitution · G. Kerk
66'
M. CardosoSubstitution · I. Diabate
66'
B. BaiyeYellow Card
77'
79'
S. OnurSubstitution · Y. Kayan
O. OvacikliSubstitution · F. Ebosele
81'
86'
E. KilincYellow Card

Match Data

Full-time statistics
43%
Ball Possession
57%
0.77
Expected Goals (xG)
0.40
8
Total Shots
8
2
Shots on Target
2
4
Shots off Target
6
2
Blocked Shots
0
6
Shots Inside Box
2
2
Shots Outside Box
6
3
Corners
5
0
Offsides
2
7
Fouls
10
3
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1
405
Total Passes
553
334
Accurate Passes
481
82%
Pass Accuracy
87%

As the Süper Lig intensifies, Erzurumspor FK prepares to host Samsunspor on September 20, 2026, in what promises to be a pivotal clash for both teams. With only two positions separating them on the league table, this encounter could significantly impact their standings. Erzurumspor FK, currently placed 15th, will be eager to leverage their home advantage against 13th-placed Samsunspor, hoping to turn their recent struggles around.

Erzurumspor FK Seeking Stability on Home Soil

Erzurumspor FK's recent form has been a mixed bag, with their last five matches resulting in a solitary win, two draws, and two heavy defeats. Their most recent home performance saw them clinch a narrow 1-0 victory over Konyaspor, showcasing their potential to capitalize on their home ground. However, their inconsistency is highlighted by a 4-0 loss to Galatasaray at home, emphasizing their defensive vulnerabilities. With an average of 1.00 goals scored per home game, they will need to bolster their attacking prowess while tightening their defense, which has conceded an average of 1.25 goals. Fortunately, they will be fielding a full squad with no injuries or suspensions affecting their lineup.

Samsunspor Looking to Cement Away Form

Samsunspor's performance away from home has been relatively stronger compared to their home results. Winning three of their last five away games, they have shown resilience and a knack for finding the back of the net, averaging 1.20 goals per away game. However, their defensive line has also been tested, conceding 1.20 goals on average in away fixtures. Their recent 0-2 victory against Rizespor away from home highlights their potential to exploit defensive lapses in their opponents. Similar to their hosts, Samsunspor will field a full-strength team with no players sidelined due to injuries or suspensions.

Prediction: Goals on Both Ends

Given the current form and statistical trends, this match is poised to be a closely contested affair with both sides having vulnerabilities in defense. Erzurumspor FK's need to capitalize on home advantage and Samsunspor's potent away strategy suggest a likelihood of goals for both teams. The prediction leans towards a result where both teams find the net, considering Samsunspor's slightly better form and Erzurumspor FK's home struggles. The most probable betting outcome is a Total:Over: 2.5, given the attacking inclinations and defensive frailties, especially with Samsunspor's recent goal-scoring form. This scenario is backed by a Confidence Score of 7, as both teams have shown tendencies to concede goals in recent matches. Additional betting options include considering Erzurumspor FK's home strength and Samsunspor's away form, which could lead to a dynamic and high-scoring contest.

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Erzurumspor FK
Home win
35%
Draw
No bet
32%
Samsunspor
Away win
33%
11.09 A Beşiktaş 0 — 3 L
05.09 H Konyaspor 1 — 0 W
28.08 A Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1 — 1 D
21.08 H Galatasaray 0 — 4 L
16.08 A Amed 0 — 3 L
12.09 H Çorum FK 1 — 5 L
06.09 A Kocaelispor 0 — 1 L
30.08 H Fenerbahçe 0 — 2 L
22.08 A Rizespor 2 — 0 W
17.08 H Göztepe 3 — 3 D
30.01.2023 Samsunspor vs Erzurumspor FK 2 — 1
27.08.2022 Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor 2 — 2
19.03.2022 Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor 1 — 2
23.10.2021 Samsunspor vs Erzurumspor FK 0 — 0
11.02.2018 Samsunspor vs Erzurumspor FK 1 — 0

Injuries and Suspensions

Erzurumspor FK

No reported absences

Samsunspor

+A. Sousa
+E. Tavsan
+F. Kaya
+J. Assoumou
+T. Coulibaly

Football Betting Tips

70% Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5
Both Erzurumspor FK and Samsunspor have shown defensive vulnerabilities, with recent matches indicating a tendency to concede goals, making a high-scoring game likely.
2.15
Odds
Total:Over: 2.0 @ 1.59 75%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5 @ 1.35 70%

Odds

Erzurumspor FK vs Samsunspor
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 2.72 3.30 2.95 Bet now
William Hill 2.60 2.90 2.75 Bet now
Bet365 2.55 3.10 2.75 Bet now
Marathonbet 2.56 3.08 2.78 Bet now
Betfair 2.50 3.25 2.70 Bet now
BetVictor 2.50 3.10 2.70 Bet now
SBO 2.48 3.06 2.63 Bet now
1xBet 2.67 3.21 2.90 Bet now
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