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🇮🇹 Serie A · Italy

Venezia VS Fiorentina Prediction and Results

Venezia
L L L L W
vs
2 – 4
Full Time · HT 1:2
14:45
11 Sep · Fri
Fiorentina
L L L W D
Venue: Stadio Pierluigi Penzo Referee: F. Fourneau
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
Total:Over: 2.5
80% confidence
1.65
Odds

Match Timeline

Venezia 2:4 Fiorentina
A. AdamsGoal · G. Busio
22'
29'
F. MastantuonoGoal · A. Jimenez
30'
F. MastantuonoGoal · Beto
J. SchingtienneYellow Card
38'
G. BusioSubstitution · T. J. Helgason
44'
60'
A. AttaSubstitution · W. Gnonto
60'
BetoSubstitution · M. Pellegrino
66'
M. PellegrinoGoal · N. Fagioli
R. SagradoSubstitution · T. Correia
69'
M. MorenoSubstitution · Juan Jesus
69'
72'
A. NjieYellow Card
S. SohmYellow Card
73'
J. YeboahSubstitution · T. Fernandez
80'
S. SohmSubstitution · L. Lauberbach
80'
80'
A. NjieSubstitution · Pote
84'
F. MastantuonoGoal
A. HainautGoal · R. Haps
86'
89'
L. RanieriSubstitution · M. Pongracic
89'
F. MastantuonoSubstitution · M. Brescianini

Match Data

Full-time statistics
62%
Ball Possession
38%
0.71
Expected Goals (xG)
3.35
11
Total Shots
19
4
Shots on Target
10
6
Shots off Target
6
1
Blocked Shots
3
9
Shots Inside Box
15
2
Shots Outside Box
4
2
Corners
4
3
Offsides
2
10
Fouls
6
2
Yellow Cards
1
6
Goalkeeper Saves
2
544
Total Passes
337
485
Accurate Passes
272
89%
Pass Accuracy
81%

As Serie A action heats up, Venezia and Fiorentina find themselves in a crucial battle at the Stadio Pierluigi Penzo. Both teams are languishing at the bottom of the table, with Venezia in 19th place just ahead of Fiorentina in 20th. This encounter promises to be a thrilling clash as both sides strive to climb out of the relegation zone.

Venezia's recent form has been a mixed bag, but they have shown resilience, especially at home. Despite a disappointing 2-0 loss to Lecce in their last home fixture, Venezia bounced back with a dramatic 3-2 victory over Modena. Their home performances have been their saving grace, with an impressive average of 3.75 goals scored per match. However, their defensive frailties are evident, conceding an average of 1.50 goals at home. Encouragingly for Venezia, there are no injury or suspension concerns, allowing them to field their strongest lineup.

In contrast, Fiorentina has struggled both home and away, with their last outing ending in a heavy 4-0 defeat to AS Roma. While they managed a comprehensive 4-1 victory over Benevento, away performances have been inconsistent, averaging only 1.00 goal scored per match. The team has managed to hold their own defensively with an average of 1.80 goals conceded away. Like Venezia, Fiorentina also has a clean bill of health, with no players sidelined due to injury or suspension.

When Venezia and Fiorentina clash, history shows a competitive edge, with Venezia slightly ahead in head-to-head contests. The last four meetings saw Venezia winning twice, Fiorentina once, and one draw. Given both teams' struggles, this match is pivotal not only for points but for morale.

In terms of prediction, this match could well be decided by which team capitalizes on their scoring opportunities. With Venezia's potent home attack and Fiorentina's shaky away record, the betting event most likely to occur is "Total:Over: 2.5". This is supported by Venezia's high home scoring average and the defensive vulnerabilities of both teams. The confidence score for this prediction is 8, as both teams are expected to push for a win, potentially leading to an open and high-scoring game.

In addition to the main prediction, other likely events include "Win 1" with a 60% probability, given Venezia's superior home form. Another is "Total Team 1 Over: 1.5" at 65%, reflecting their scoring prowess at home. "Total Team 2 Over: 0.5" at 70% is also reasonable, as Fiorentina has shown the ability to score away. Lastly, "Total:Over: 3.0" at 55% considers the possibility of a high-scoring affair between two defensively suspect sides. Each of these predictions complements the main event and reflects the dynamics at play in this crucial Serie A matchup.

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Venezia
Home win
34%
Draw
No bet
28%
Fiorentina
Away win
38%
06.09 A Frosinone 2 — 3 L
02.09 A Udinese 1 — 2 L
28.08 A AC Milan 0 — 2 L
23.08 H Lecce 0 — 2 L
15.08 H Modena 3 — 2 W
05.09 H Torino 1 — 2 L
29.08 H Frosinone 0 — 3 L
24.08 A AS Roma 0 — 4 L
14.08 H Benevento 4 — 1 W
08.08 A Modena 0 — 0 D
12.05.2025 Venezia vs Fiorentina 2 — 1
25.08.2024 Fiorentina vs Venezia 0 — 0
16.04.2022 Fiorentina vs Venezia 1 — 0
18.10.2021 Venezia vs Fiorentina 1 — 0

Injuries and Suspensions

Venezia

+A. Adorante
+A. Bella-Kotchap
+B. Franjic
+M. Dagasso
+M. Sverko
+T. Basic

Fiorentina

+F. Parisi
+R. Sottil

Football Betting Tips

80% Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5
Venezia's high home scoring average and both teams' defensive vulnerabilities suggest a high-scoring game.
1.65
Odds
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5 @ 1.21 70%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5 @ 2.32 65%

Odds

Venezia vs Fiorentina
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 2.97 3.53 2.64 Bet now
William Hill 2.70 3.30 2.40 Bet now
Bet365 2.75 3.30 2.55 Bet now
Marathonbet 2.88 3.42 2.55 Bet now
BetVictor 2.88 3.40 2.40 Bet now
1xBet 2.92 3.48 2.59 Bet now
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