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🇮🇹 Serie A · Italy

Atalanta VS Parma Prediction and Betting Tips

Atalanta
D D L L W
vs
14:45
02 Nov · Mon
Parma
D L L L W
Venue: New Balance Arena Referee: Valerio Crezzini
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
Total:Over: 2.5
80% confidence
1.64
Odds

As Atalanta prepares to take on Parma at the New Balance Arena on November 2, 2026, both teams are looking to turn their fortunes around in Serie A. Atalanta sits in 11th place, hoping to capitalize on their relatively strong home form, while struggling Parma is languishing in 19th, desperate to claw their way out of the relegation zone.

Atalanta's Home Comforts

Atalanta's performance this season has been a tale of two cities—thriving at home but faltering away. With four wins and just one loss in their last five home games, they have transformed the New Balance Arena into a fortress, averaging two goals per game while conceding just one. Despite a recent dip in form, losing 2-0 to Juventus and Ajax, their home record remains robust. However, they will be without the services of I. Hien due to injury, which could test their defensive solidity.

Parma's Uphill Battle

Parma, on the other hand, is grappling with a tough season, sitting second from the bottom of the table. Their recent form has been worrying, with four losses in their last five matches, conceding an average of 2.20 goals per game while scoring just 0.80. Their away record mirrors their overall struggles, with only one win in five attempts and a meager 0.40 goals scored per game. With no injuries or suspensions, Parma will need to rally their full squad to challenge Atalanta's home dominance.

Prediction: Goals on the Horizon

Given the current form and statistics, the prediction for this match leans towards a high-scoring affair. Atalanta's average of two goals per game at home, combined with Parma's defensive vulnerabilities, suggests that goals could flow. The most likely betting event is "Total:Over: 2.5", as Atalanta's attacking prowess at home should exploit Parma's leaky defense, while Parma might manage to snatch a goal given Atalanta's recent defensive lapses. With both teams having a history of high-scoring encounters, this is a solid bet with a confidence score of 8.

In addition to the main prediction, other probable betting events include "Total:Over: 1.5" with a high certainty of 85%, considering the attacking and defensive statistics of both teams. "Total Team 1 Over: 1.5" stands at a 75% probability, aligning with Atalanta's average home scoring rate. "Total Team 2 Over: 0.5" at 60% reflects the possibility of Parma finding the net, while "1X" presents a safe option at 70%, given Atalanta's home advantage and Parma's away struggles.

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Atalanta
Home win
63%
Draw
No bet
22%
Parma
Away win
15%
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Injuries and Suspensions

Atalanta

+F. Kessie
+G. Raspadori
+G. Scamacca
+I. Hien
+O. Kossounou
+R. Bellanova
+S. Kolasinac
+T. Kristensen

Parma

+L. Valenti
+N. Elphege

Football Betting Tips

80% Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5
Atalanta's strong home scoring record and Parma's weak defense suggest a high-scoring match.
1.64
Odds
Total:Over: 1.5 @ 1.20 85%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5 @ 1.52 75%

Odds

Atalanta vs Parma
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 1.57 4.73 6.90 Bet now
William Hill 1.44 4.20 6.00 Bet now
Bet365 1.50 4.50 6.25 Bet now
Marathonbet 1.48 4.55 6.65 Bet now
Betfair 1.50 4.60 6.00 Bet now
BetVictor 1.50 4.33 6.00 Bet now
SBO 1.45 4.03 5.32 Bet now
1xBet 1.52 4.68 6.85 Bet now
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