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🇵🇹 Primeira Liga · Portugal

Vitória SC VS Nacional Prediction and Results

Vitória SC
L L W D W
vs
1 – 0
Full Time · HT 1:0
10:30
23 Aug · Sun
Nacional
W D L D D
Referee: P. Ramalho
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
Total:Over: 2.0
80% confidence
1.44
Odds

Match Timeline

Vitória SC 1:0 Nacional
GustavoGoal · M. Nogueira
4'
G. NogueiraYellow Card
28'
M. NogueiraYellow Card
38'
T. MargaridoYellow Card
45+4'
SamuPenalty Missed · Samu
49'
56'
Wesley GasolinaSubstitution · D. I. de la Cruz
56'
M. BaezaSubstitution · W. Kokolo
L. DoucetSubstitution · B. Mukendi
63'
M. NogueiraSubstitution · O. Camara
63'
68'
LizieroSubstitution · S. Gavriel
G. NogueiraSubstitution · M. Mitrovic
72'
GustavoSubstitution · T. Arcanjo
78'
80'
M. JensenSubstitution · A. Obando
80'
Matheus DiasSubstitution · M. Djalo
90+5'
Daniel JuniorYellow Card

Match Data

Full-time statistics
50%
Ball Possession
50%
2.84
Expected Goals (xG)
0.38
18
Total Shots
5
5
Shots on Target
0
9
Shots off Target
3
4
Blocked Shots
2
12
Shots Inside Box
3
6
Shots Outside Box
2
3
Corners
3
1
Offsides
1
13
Fouls
5
2
Yellow Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3
341
Total Passes
343
283
Accurate Passes
272
83%
Pass Accuracy
79%

As the Primeira Liga heats up, Vitória SC will face off against Nacional on August 23, 2026. Both teams have shown varying degrees of form in recent matches, with Vitória SC keen to climb up from their current 15th position in the league, while Nacional aims to consolidate their spot in the top half of the table, sitting comfortably in 7th place. This clash promises to be an intriguing encounter as both sides vie for critical points in the season.

Vitória SC Seeking Consistency

Vitória SC's recent form has been a mixed bag, characterized by moments of brilliance and periods of inconsistency. They have managed two wins, two draws, and a loss in their last five outings. Notably, their last victory came with an impressive 3-1 away win against Al-Ahli Jeddah. At home, Vitória SC has been relatively solid, winning two, drawing two, and losing just one of their last five. They have averaged 1.00 goals scored and 0.40 goals conceded per game at home, demonstrating a decent defensive record. Despite not having any injuries or suspensions to contend with, Vitória will need to capitalize on their home advantage to secure a favorable result against Nacional.

Nacional Looking to Break the Draw Streak

Nacional, on the other hand, has been a tough nut to crack, although they have struggled to convert draws into wins. Their recent run includes three draws and two losses, with their most recent match ending in a 3-3 thriller against Leixoes. Away from home, Nacional has not been able to secure a win, drawing two and losing one in their last five matches. They have averaged 1.00 goals scored and conceded 1.67 goals per game away from home. With no reported injuries or suspensions, Nacional will be eager to break their winless streak on the road and improve on their previous head-to-head results against Vitória SC, which have been fairly even.

Prediction: A Clash of Styles

This encounter between Vitória SC and Nacional is expected to be closely contested, given their recent performances and head-to-head history, which shows two wins each and a draw. Analyzing the statistical trends, the likelihood of the match seeing over 2.0 goals seems high. Vitória SC has been involved in games where goals have been plentiful, averaging 1.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded over their last five matches. Similarly, Nacional's games have also seen a fair share of goals, with their last five matches averaging 1.20 goals scored and 1.60 conceded. Therefore, the most probable betting event is "Total:Over: 2.0," with a confidence score of 8. This prediction is supported by both teams' tendency to be involved in high-scoring affairs. Additionally, given their defensive vulnerabilities, other potential outcomes include "Total:Over: 2.5" and both teams to score. The match is poised to be an exciting contest, with both sides having the capability to find the back of the net.

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Vitória SC
Home win
55%
Draw
No bet
26%
Nacional
Away win
19%
14.08 A Sporting CP 2 — 3 L
08.08 H Arouca 0 — 1 L
01.08 H Chaves 2 — 0 W
26.07 H Nottingham Forest 1 — 1 D
24.07 A Al-Ahli Jeddah 3 — 1 W
16.08 H Estoril 2 — 0 W
10.08 A Santa Clara 2 — 2 D
23.07 A Estrela 0 — 2 L
22.07 H Leganes 0 — 0 D
19.07 A Tondela 1 — 1 D
16.05.2026 Nacional vs Vitória SC 2 — 0
02.01.2026 Vitória SC vs Nacional 2 — 1
03.05.2025 Nacional vs Vitória SC 1 — 2
23.12.2024 Vitória SC vs Nacional 2 — 2
26.04.2021 Nacional vs Vitória SC 1 — 0

Football Betting Tips

80% Confidence
Total:Over: 2.0
Both teams have shown a tendency to be involved in high-scoring affairs, with Vitória SC averaging 1.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded, and Nacional averaging 1.20 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in their last five matches.
1.44
Odds
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5 @ 1.57 75%
Total:Over: 2.5 @ 1.91 70%

Odds

Vitória SC vs Nacional
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 1.74 3.85 5.30 Bet now
William Hill 1.67 3.60 4.80 Bet now
Bet365 1.67 3.60 5.25 Bet now
Marathonbet 1.66 3.80 4.85 Bet now
Unibet 1.68 3.75 5.10 Bet now
Betfair 1.67 3.80 5.00 Bet now
BetVictor 1.62 3.70 4.80 Bet now
SBO 1.69 3.46 4.44 Bet now
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