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🇺🇸 Major League Soccer · USA

Philadelphia Union VS New York Red Bulls Prediction and Betting Tips

Philadelphia Union
L D L L D
vs
23:30
22 Jul · Wed
New York Red Bulls
W D W W L
Venue: Subaru Park Referee: Ismir Pekmic, USA
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
Total:Over: 2.5
70% confidence
1.46
Odds

As the Major League Soccer season heats up, Philadelphia Union prepares to host New York Red Bulls at Subaru Park on July 22, 2026. Both teams will be eager to claim victory to bolster their standings in the league. This match promises to be an intriguing clash as each side looks to overcome recent inconsistencies and secure a much-needed win.

Philadelphia Union: Battling for Stability

Philadelphia Union has had a turbulent spell, unable to secure a victory in their last five outings. Their recent form has seen them struggle, with two draws and three losses, including a high-scoring 4-3 defeat to Orlando City SC and a 6-4 thriller against Inter Miami. Despite averaging 1.80 goals per game across these matches, their defense has been porous, conceding an average of 2.60 goals. At home, the Union has similarly faced challenges, managing just two draws and suffering two losses, with a meager average of 0.40 goals scored per game. On the bright side, they have no injury or suspension concerns, which might give them a tactical advantage to exploit against their visitors.

New York Red Bulls: Consistency Amidst Fluctuation

The New York Red Bulls enter this matchup with a more favorable recent run, having secured two wins, two draws, and a single loss in their last five matches. Their offensive play has been consistent, averaging 1.80 goals per game, while their defense has been relatively solid, conceding an average of 1.40. On the road, the Red Bulls have shown some resilience with two wins and a draw, though they have also conceded two goals per match on average. Much like their opponents, the Red Bulls have a full squad available, free from injuries and suspensions. In head-to-head encounters, they have managed one win against the Union's three, with one match ending in a draw, suggesting they face a formidable challenge away from home.

Prediction: A Balanced Encounter with Goals

Given the current form and statistical trends, the prediction leans towards a closely contested match with opportunities for both teams to score. While Philadelphia Union has struggled defensively, their ability to find the back of the net, especially in high-scoring matches, can't be overlooked. Conversely, the New York Red Bulls have demonstrated a capacity to score and maintain a solid defensive line, albeit with vulnerabilities on the road. The most likely outcome in this clash is a match with goals from both sides, making "Total:Over: 2.5" goals the main prediction. This is supported by both teams averaging 1.80 goals per game in recent fixtures. Expect an engaging battle with both sides pushing for an edge in this key fixture of the MLS season.

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Philadelphia Union
Home win
56%
Draw
No bet
23%
New York Red Bulls
Away win
21%
24.05 A Inter Miami 4 — 6 L
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02.05 H Nashville SC 0 — 0 D
24.05 A Sporting Kansas City 2 — 1 W
16.05 H New York City FC 1 — 1 D
13.05 H Columbus Crew 3 — 2 W
09.05 A Chicago Fire 3 — 1 W
02.05 H FC Dallas 0 — 2 L
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Injuries and Suspensions

Philadelphia Union

+E. Davis III
+I. Vassilev
+J. Sery Larsen
+Q. Sullivan
+S. Korzeniowski

New York Red Bulls

+A. Marcucci
+C. Cowell
+E. Forsberg
+E. M. Choupo-Moting
+M. Dos Santos

Football Betting Tips

70% Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5
Both teams have shown tendencies to score and concede multiple goals in recent matches, suggesting a high-scoring encounter is likely.
1.46
Odds
Total:Over: 1.5 @ 1.13 85%
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5 @ 1.09 80%

Odds

Philadelphia Union vs New York Red Bulls
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 1.75 4.38 4.80 Bet now
William Hill 1.70 3.90 4.00 Bet now
Bet365 1.65 4.10 4.75 Bet now
Marathonbet 1.67 4.15 4.30 Bet now
Unibet 1.68 4.25 4.25 Bet now
Betfair 1.67 4.33 4.33 Bet now
BetVictor 1.67 4.20 4.33 Bet now
Pinnacle 1.70 4.31 4.46 Bet now
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