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🇺🇸 Major League Soccer · USA

Chicago Fire VS New York City FC Prediction and Betting Tips

Chicago Fire
W W L L D
vs
14:30
10 Oct · Sat
New York City FC
D L W L D
Venue: Soldier Field Referee: Brandon Stevis
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
Total:Under: 2.5
70% confidence
2.38
Odds

As Major League Soccer action heats up, Chicago Fire is set to host New York City FC at Soldier Field on October 10, 2026. Both teams will be looking to secure a crucial win as the season nears its climax. With neither side featuring in the top echelons of the league standings, this encounter presents a vital opportunity to bolster their positions.

Chicago Fire: A Mixed Bag at Home

Chicago Fire comes into this game with a patchy recent form, having secured just one victory in their last five matches. Their recent win against Charlotte provides a glimmer of hope, yet the team has been inconsistent, particularly in defense, conceding an average of two goals per game over this period. Despite these challenges, Chicago Fire has showcased resilience at home, winning three of their last five matches played at Soldier Field. Their ability to score at home has been relatively strong, averaging 1.8 goals per game, which could prove crucial in this match against New York City FC. Fortunately for the Fire, they have no injury or suspension concerns, allowing them to field their strongest squad available.

New York City FC: Struggles to Find Consistency

New York City FC has also had their share of struggles, with their last five matches yielding just one victory, a 2-0 away triumph over Real Salt Lake. The team has managed to draw twice and suffer narrow losses in their recent outings. With an average of one goal scored and one goal conceded per game over their last five matches, NYCFC has shown a tendency for tight, low-scoring affairs. Away from home, they have been slightly more effective, managing to score an average of 1.4 goals per game while maintaining a relatively solid defense. Like Chicago, New York City FC will be relieved to have a fully fit squad available for selection, with no players missing due to injury or suspension.

Prediction: A Battle of Margins

Given both teams' recent performances and their head-to-head history, this match is likely to be closely contested. Chicago Fire's home advantage, coupled with their scoring capability, might give them a slight edge. However, New York City FC's ability to hold their own away from home, demonstrated by their recent draws and a win on the road, cannot be overlooked. The prediction for this match leans towards a draw, given the evenly matched nature of the teams and their recent history of sharing the spoils. The most probable betting event is a low-scoring draw, considering both teams' struggle to consistently outscore their opponents.

With the potential for a closely matched contest, betting on a draw with under 2.5 goals seems like the most plausible outcome, supported by both teams' recent scoring patterns and defensive records. The likelihood of this event is bolstered by the fact that their head-to-head encounters have often been tight, with two of the last five matches ending in draws.

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Chicago Fire
Home win
50%
Draw
No bet
25%
New York City FC
Away win
25%
06.10 H Vancouver Whitecaps 3 — 1 W
26.09 A Charlotte 1 — 0 W
19.09 A Nashville SC 0 — 3 L
13.09 H New England Revolution 1 — 2 L
09.09 H Inter Miami 1 — 1 D
26.09 A Atlanta United FC 2 — 2 D
18.09 H New York Red Bulls 0 — 1 L
12.09 A Real Salt Lake 2 — 0 W
09.09 H New England Revolution 1 — 2 L
04.09 H Nashville SC 0 — 0 D
25.07.2026 New York City FC vs Chicago Fire 3 — 1
13.09.2025 Chicago Fire vs New York City FC 1 — 3
25.05.2025 New York City FC vs Chicago Fire 3 — 1
24.08.2024 New York City FC vs Chicago Fire 2 — 2
13.07.2024 Chicago Fire vs New York City FC 0 — 0

Injuries and Suspensions

Chicago Fire

+A. Franco

New York City FC

+A. Farnos
+D. Baiera
+K. Parks
+K. Trewin
+M. Moralez
+Talles Magno

Football Betting Tips

70% Confidence
Total:Under: 2.5
Both teams have shown inconsistent scoring and solid defenses in recent matches, suggesting a low-scoring draw is likely.
2.38
Odds
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5 @ 1.48 65%
Total Team 1 Under: 1.5 @ 2.19 60%

Odds

Chicago Fire vs New York City FC
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 1.96 3.95 4.25 Bet now
William Hill 1.80 3.60 3.70 Bet now
Bet365 1.80 3.90 4.20 Bet now
Marathonbet 1.80 3.85 3.84 Bet now
Betfair 1.91 3.90 3.60 Bet now
BetVictor 1.80 3.90 3.90 Bet now
SBO 1.84 3.32 3.30 Bet now
Betano 1.83 3.85 4.10 Bet now
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