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🇲🇽 Liga MX · Mexico

Toluca VS Atlas Prediction and Results

Toluca
W W W W W
vs
5 – 2
Full Time · HT 3:0
19:05
12 Sep · Sat
Atlas
D L W W W
Referee: C. A. Ramos
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
Total:Over: 2.5
80% confidence
1.61
Odds

Match Timeline

Toluca 5:2 Atlas
Alexis VegaGoal (Penalty)
19'
Jesús AnguloGoal · Nicolás Castro
22'
24'
Manuel CapassoYellow Card
Federico ViñasGoal · Bruno Méndez
29'
Federico ViñasSubstitution · João Paulo Dias Fernandes
45'
45'
Arturo GonzálezSubstitution · Luis Lopes
45'
Paulo RamirezSubstitution · Sergio Hernández
51'
Florián MonzónGoal · Luís André Leite Esteves
João Paulo Dias FernandesGoal · Jesús Angulo
53'
Hélio Júnio Nunes de CastroYellow Card
57'
57'
Milton ValenzuelaYellow Card
Hélio Júnio Nunes de CastroSubstitution · Everardo Lopez
58'
Jorge RodríguezOwn Goal
60'
62'
Jorge SánchezSubstitution · Elías Montiel
Jesús AnguloSubstitution · Víctor Guzmán
72'
Nicolás CastroSubstitution · Pavel Pérez
72'
79'
Luís André Leite EstevesSubstitution · J. Serrato
79'
Luis LopesGoal
81'
J. SerratoYellow Card
Alexis VegaSubstitution · Luan Garcia
83'
87'
Manuel CapassoSubstitution · Adrian Mora

Match Data

Full-time statistics
54%
Ball Possession
46%
14
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
2
5
Shots off Target
5
3
Blocked Shots
3
10
Shots Inside Box
6
4
Shots Outside Box
4
6
Corners
8
3
Offsides
0
11
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2
457
Total Passes
386
391
Accurate Passes
316

As Liga MX heats up, Toluca prepares to host Atlas in a highly anticipated match that promises to be a thrilling encounter. Scheduled to take place on September 13, 2026, the fixture sees second-placed Toluca squaring off against fourth-placed Atlas. Both teams are in contention for top spots in the league, adding an extra layer of intensity to their meeting.

Toluca's Impressive Form and Strong Defensive Record

Toluca comes into this match in exceptional form, sitting comfortably in second place. Their recent performances have been nothing short of dominant, particularly at home. Over their last five matches, they have secured four wins and a draw, showcasing an impressive average of 2.00 goals scored per match while conceding just 0.20. At home, Toluca has been even more formidable, averaging 2.20 goals scored with only 0.40 conceded. With no injuries or suspensions plaguing their squad, Toluca is set to field a strong lineup, bolstering their prospects of maintaining this momentum.

Atlas's Battle for Consistency and Away Strength

Atlas finds themselves in fourth place, eager to secure a victory against a strong Toluca side. Their recent form has seen a mixed bag of results, with three wins and two losses in their last five matches. Atlas has been more effective on the road, achieving three victories in their last five away games. They score an average of 1.20 goals and concede the same amount when playing away, indicating both their offensive capabilities and vulnerabilities. Like Toluca, Atlas has the advantage of a full squad, with no injuries or suspensions affecting their preparations.

Prediction: A Competitive Clash with Goal-Scoring Opportunities

Given both teams' current form and statistical trends, this match is poised to be a competitive affair with the potential for goals. Toluca's stellar defensive record, particularly at home, contrasts interestingly with Atlas's ability to find the net on their travels. However, the history between these two sides suggests that Toluca holds an edge, having won three of their last five encounters. The main prediction for this match is "Total:Over: 2.5" goals, driven by Toluca's attacking prowess and Atlas's potential to score. This prediction carries a high confidence score of 8, given the recent goal-scoring tendencies of both teams. Additional predictions include "Win 1", "Total Team 1 Over: 1.5", "Total Team 2 Over: 0.5", and "X2", reflecting the likelihood of a dynamic and closely contested match.

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Toluca
Home win
61%
Draw
No bet
23%
Atlas
Away win
16%
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Football Betting Tips

80% Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5
Toluca's strong home scoring record and Atlas's ability to score on the road suggest a high-scoring match.
1.61
Odds
Win 1 @ 1.47 70%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5 @ 1.49 65%

Odds

Toluca vs Atlas
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 1.55 4.55 6.55 Bet now
William Hill 1.44 3.80 5.50 Bet now
Bet365 1.50 4.33 6.50 Bet now
Marathonbet 1.47 4.20 6.20 Bet now
Betfair 1.44 4.50 6.00 Bet now
BetVictor 1.44 4.40 6.00 Bet now
SBO 1.41 4.29 5.99 Bet now
1xBet 1.48 4.20 6.25 Bet now
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