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🇲🇽 Liga MX · Mexico

Necaxa VS Puebla Prediction and Results

Necaxa
D L D L W
vs
0 – 1
Full Time · HT 0:0
21:00
11 Sep · Fri
Puebla
L W W L L
Venue: Estadio Victoria Referee: I. Rosario
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
Total:Over: 2.5
80% confidence
1.77
Odds

Match Timeline

Necaxa 0:1 Puebla
Owen GonzálezSubstitution · Kevin Ante
45'
Mauro ZaletaSubstitution · Miguel Rodriguez
45'
45'
Omar MorenoSubstitution · Ignacio Maestro
45'
Fernando MonarrezSubstitution · Oscar Villa
45+1'
Juan Pablo VargasYellow Card
Raúl MartínezYellow Card
45+1'
45+1'
Fernando MonarrezYellow Card
49'
Carlos BaltazarYellow Card
62'
Kevin VelascoSubstitution · Mathías Adrián Tomás Borges
Matias EspindolaSubstitution · Juan Torres
68'
Lorenzo FaravelliSubstitution · Danny Leyva
75'
81'
Brayan GarnicaSubstitution · Lucas Camilo Azevedo da Silva
Pedro PedrazaSubstitution · Juan Valencia
86'
89'
Carlos BaltazarSubstitution · José Pachuca
90+3'
Mathías Adrián Tomás BorgesGoal · Alejandro Organista

Match Data

Full-time statistics
56%
Ball Possession
44%
9
Total Shots
12
2
Shots on Target
4
5
Shots off Target
5
2
Blocked Shots
3
7
Shots Inside Box
7
2
Shots Outside Box
5
8
Corners
5
1
Offsides
0
11
Fouls
12
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
429
Total Passes
339
372
Accurate Passes
281

As the Liga MX season progresses, Necaxa will be hosting Puebla at the Estadio Victoria on September 12th. The match promises intrigue, given the contrasting styles and recent performances of both teams. Necaxa, currently sitting in the 12th position, will look to capitalize on their home advantage, while Puebla, positioned 8th, aims to improve their away form.

Necaxa's Recent Struggles at Home

Necaxa has had a tumultuous season, marked by inconsistency. Their recent form shows a mixed bag of results, with just one win in their last five matches across all competitions. At home, they have managed to secure three wins out of their last five, but defeats to Cruz Azul and Leon highlight vulnerabilities in their defense. Conceding an average of 1.40 goals per match at home, Necaxa must shore up their backline to withstand Puebla’s attacking threats. Despite the challenges, they have been relatively consistent in front of goal, averaging 1.40 goals per game at home. Fortunately for Necaxa, they have no injuries or suspensions, allowing them to field their strongest lineup.

Puebla's Away Day Blues

Puebla has found the going tough on the road, with their away form reflecting one win and four losses in their last five outings. The team has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 3.00 goals per game away from home. Despite these defensive frailties, they have shown resilience in attack, averaging 1.40 goals per game on their travels. Their recent 3-2 victory against Santos Laguna demonstrated their potential to challenge defenses, but they will need to tighten their rear guard to avoid a repeat of heavy defeats like those against Club America and Austin. Similar to Necaxa, Puebla heads into this encounter without any injury or suspension worries.

Prediction: A High-Scoring Encounter Looms

Considering the form and statistics of both teams, a high-scoring encounter seems likely. Necaxa’s home advantage and historical dominance over Puebla, having won four of their last five meetings, gives them a slight edge. However, Puebla’s capacity to score, evidenced by their recent performances, cannot be overlooked. The prediction for this matchup leans towards both teams finding the net, with the likelihood of multiple goals being scored. With both defenses appearing porous, the betting event with the highest probability is Total:Over: 2.5 goals. The rationale for this prediction rests on the average goals conceded by both teams in their respective home and away games, indicating a match where defenses might struggle to contain the opposing attacks.

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Necaxa
Home win
46%
Draw
No bet
27%
Puebla
Away win
27%
05.09 A Tigres UANL 1 — 1 D
28.08 H Cruz Azul 1 — 3 L
23.08 A U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1 — 1 D
17.08 H Leon 1 — 2 L
13.08 A New York City FC 2 — 1 W
29.08 A Club America 0 — 2 L
22.08 H Santos Laguna 3 — 2 W
17.08 A CF Pachuca 3 — 2 W
12.08 A San Diego 2 — 3 L
09.08 A Austin 0 — 3 L
13.03.2026 Puebla vs Necaxa 0 — 0
19.09.2025 Necaxa vs Puebla 1 — 0
18.04.2025 Puebla vs Necaxa 0 — 1
13.07.2024 Necaxa vs Puebla 4 — 1
19.01.2024 Puebla vs Necaxa 1 — 2

Football Betting Tips

80% Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5
Both teams have been conceding goals at a high rate, with Necaxa at 1.40 and Puebla at 3.00 in their respective home and away games, making a high-scoring game likely.
1.77
Odds
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5 @ 1.34 80%
Total Team 1 Over: 1 @ 1.31 75%

Odds

Necaxa vs Puebla
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 2.10 3.75 3.54 Bet now
William Hill 1.91 3.25 3.30 Bet now
Bet365 2.05 3.70 3.40 Bet now
Marathonbet 1.98 3.48 3.48 Bet now
BetVictor 2.00 3.50 3.40 Bet now
1xBet 2.00 3.48 3.49 Bet now
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