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🇲🇽 Liga MX · Mexico

Club Queretaro VS Toluca Prediction and Results

Club Queretaro
D D L L W
vs
1 – 2
Full Time · HT 0:0
23:10
21 Aug · Fri
Toluca
D W L W W
Venue: Estadio La Corregidora Referee: K. Hernandez Andrade
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
Total:Over: 2.5
80% confidence
1.55
Odds

Match Timeline

Club Queretaro 1:2 Toluca
19'
A. VegaYellow Card
31'
D. BarbosaRed Card
45+5'
F. ArceYellow Card
A. AvilaPenalty Missed · A. Avila
45+6'
46'
A. VegaSubstitution · N. Castro
46'
F. ArceSubstitution · B. A. Garcia Caprizo
A. AvilaYellow Card
55'
Paulo VictorSubstitution · I. Benito
58'
A. AlcalaSubstitution · M. Coronel
58'
65'
HelinhoGoal
74'
HelinhoSubstitution · Luan
74'
J. AnguloSubstitution · J. Diaz Price
74'
N. CastroYellow Card
B. DuarteSubstitution · W. Madrid
74'
C. GarciaSubstitution · J. Martinez
74'
S. HomenchenkoGoal · D. Parra
79'
I. BenitoYellow Card
81'
85'
Bruno MendezSubstitution · V. Guzman
S. HomenchenkoYellow Card
90'
90'
F. VinasGoal (Penalty)
D. ParraSubstitution · E. Perez
90+3'

As the Liga MX season heats up, Club Queretaro is set to host Toluca at the iconic Estadio La Corregidora on August 22, 2026. Both teams are looking to secure crucial points, with Toluca aiming to solidify their position near the top of the table while Queretaro seeks to climb higher. This matchup promises to be a thrilling encounter, with both sides boasting strong squads and recent performances that suggest an intriguing contest.

Club Queretaro’s Quest for Consistency

Club Queretaro finds themselves in 7th place in the league, reflecting a season of mixed fortunes. Their recent form has been a rollercoaster, with two notable away wins against CF Pachuca and a thrilling home victory over Tigres UANL. However, they have also faced heavy defeats, particularly away, such as the 3-0 loss to Seattle Sounders. At home, Queretaro seems more settled, averaging 1.67 goals scored per match, showing their attacking potential. Yet, their defense has leaked goals, conceding the same average number, pointing towards a need for greater stability at the back. Fortunately for them, they have a fully fit squad with no injuries or suspensions to complicate their selection process.

Toluca’s Ambition to Dominate

Toluca has shown impressive form this season, currently sitting in 3rd place. Known for their attacking prowess, they have averaged 2.00 goals per game in their last five outings, including a commanding 3-0 win over Seattle Sounders. However, their defense has shown some vulnerability, conceding 1.20 goals on average. On the road, Toluca has managed to maintain a positive record, with notable wins and a high scoring rate of 1.80 goals per away match. Their recent head-to-head records against Queretaro are largely in their favor, with three wins in the past five encounters, including a dominant 5-0 victory. Like their counterparts, Toluca has no injury or suspension concerns, allowing them to field their strongest eleven.

Prediction for a Competitive Showdown

Given the current standings and form, this match is set to be an intense battle. Toluca's attacking strength and ability to score goals make them the favorites, but Queretaro's resilience at home cannot be overlooked. The prediction points towards a closely fought match with goals expected from both sides. The most probable event is a total goals scenario, with Total:Over: 2.5 being the standout option due to both teams' tendencies to score and concede. This match also presents several betting angles with high potential. Both teams to score seems likely, considering their recent defensive records, while a draw or a narrow win for Toluca could also be on the cards. A confident performance from Toluca might just edge them past Queretaro, but expect Queretaro to make them earn every inch on the field.

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Club Queretaro
Home win
24%
Draw
No bet
24%
Toluca
Away win
52%
16.08 A U.N.A.M. - Pumas 0 — 0 D
12.08 A Los Angeles FC 1 — 1 D
09.08 A Seattle Sounders 0 — 3 L
05.08 A FC Dallas 0 — 2 L
01.08 H Tigres UANL 3 — 2 W
15.08 A Atlante FC 0 — 0 D
12.08 H FC Dallas 3 — 1 W
08.08 H Los Angeles FC 0 — 1 L
05.08 H Seattle Sounders 3 — 0 W
02.08 H Necaxa 3 — 1 W
04.04.2026 Club Queretaro vs Toluca 1 — 0
18.10.2025 Toluca vs Club Queretaro 4 — 0
26.02.2025 Toluca vs Club Queretaro 5 — 0
18.10.2024 Club Queretaro vs Toluca 0 — 1
12.01.2024 Club Queretaro vs Toluca 2 — 2

Football Betting Tips

80% Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5
Both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede goals, with Toluca averaging 2 goals per match and Queretaro's home matches yielding high goal averages.
1.55
Odds
Total Team 1 Over: 0.5 @ 1.32 75%
Total Team 2 Over: 1.5 @ 1.65 70%

Odds

Club Queretaro vs Toluca
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 4.03 4.05 1.95 Bet now
William Hill 3.50 3.40 1.80 Bet now
Bet365 3.90 3.80 1.90 Bet now
Marathonbet 3.90 3.78 1.79 Bet now
Unibet 3.65 3.70 1.84 Bet now
Betfair 3.80 4.00 1.80 Bet now
BetVictor 3.70 3.75 1.83 Bet now
Pinnacle 3.98 4.00 1.85 Bet now
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