Today's sharpest picks · 9+ confidence — grab the winner →
All times in your local time UTC-4 Today Fri, 09 Oct 2026
🇪🇸 La Liga · Spain

Alaves VS Atletico Madrid Prediction and Betting Tips

Alaves
D L L W W
vs
10:15
10 Oct · Sat
Atletico Madrid
W W W L L
Venue: Estadio de Mendizorroza Referee: G. Cuadra
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
X
70% confidence
3.73
Odds

The excitement is building as Alaves prepare to host Atletico Madrid at the Estadio Mendizorrotza in what promises to be an intriguing La Liga clash. With Alaves sitting in sixth position, they will be eager to capitalize on their impressive home form. Atletico Madrid, firmly in second place, will look to continue their pursuit of league leaders with another strong performance on the road.

Alaves: Strong at Home

Alaves have shown remarkable resilience at home, a fact underscored by their recent run of matches. Boasting four wins from their last five home games, they have managed to score an average of 2.40 goals while conceding just 0.60. This impressive form includes a notable 5-2 win against Osasuna and a solid 1-0 victory over Villarreal. However, their form on the road has not been as consistent, as evidenced by their recent 2-1 loss to Racing Santander. Fortunately for Alaves, they are free from injury and suspension issues, giving them an opportunity to field their strongest lineup against Atletico.

Atletico Madrid: Aiming High

Atletico Madrid have been in formidable form overall, especially at home, where they have been dominant. Their away performances have also been strong, with three wins in their last five outings, highlighted by a 3-0 triumph over Real Sociedad. Averaging 1.80 goals scored per game away from home, they have been effective offensively, though they concede an average of 1.40 goals. Despite a recent 3-0 setback against Athletic Club, Atletico Madrid's squad remains fully fit, with no injuries or suspensions to report. This allows them to approach this fixture with confidence, aiming to extend their winning streak.

Prediction: Balanced Battle

This clash between Alaves and Atletico Madrid is set to be a closely fought encounter. The prediction for this match leans towards a competitive draw, considering Alaves' strong home record and Atletico's robust away form. Historical head-to-head data further support this outcome, with the teams drawing two of their last five meetings. The most likely betting event is a draw, supported by the tactical balance both teams bring to the table and their recent performances. With Alaves' defensive solidity at home and Atletico's attacking prowess, the match could end in a stalemate, offering a compelling contest for fans and punters alike.

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Alaves
Home win
22%
Draw
No bet
25%
Atletico Madrid
Away win
53%
19.09 A Athletic Club 0 — 0 D
15.09 H Valencia 0 — 1 L
12.09 A Racing Santander 1 — 2 L
06.09 H Osasuna 5 — 2 W
28.08 H Villarreal 1 — 0 W
20.09 H Real Madrid 2 — 1 W
16.09 H Osasuna 4 — 0 W
13.09 A Real Sociedad 3 — 0 W
09.09 A Liverpool 1 — 2 L
05.09 A Athletic Club 0 — 3 L
18.01.2026 Atletico Madrid vs Alaves 1 — 0
30.08.2025 Alaves vs Atletico Madrid 1 — 1
03.05.2025 Alaves vs Atletico Madrid 0 — 0
23.11.2024 Atletico Madrid vs Alaves 2 — 1
21.04.2024 Alaves vs Atletico Madrid 2 — 0

Injuries and Suspensions

Alaves

+M. Rodriguez
+V. Koski
■F. Garces

Atletico Madrid

No reported absences

Football Betting Tips

70% Confidence
X
Both teams have shown strength in their respective forms; Alaves at home and Atletico away, with their recent performances and historical data indicating a balanced match likely to end in a draw.
3.73
Odds
Total Team 1 Under: 1.5 @ 1.31 70%
Total:Under: 2.5 @ 1.99 65%

Odds

Alaves vs Atletico Madrid
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 4.65 3.97 1.90 Bet now
William Hill 4.20 3.60 1.73 Bet now
Bet365 4.50 3.90 1.73 Bet now
Marathonbet 4.45 3.82 1.80 Bet now
Betfair 4.60 3.70 1.80 Bet now
BetVictor 4.40 3.75 1.80 Bet now
SBO 3.73 3.28 1.81 Bet now
1xBet 4.57 3.92 1.85 Bet now
Today's picks are live

Stop guessing.
Start winning.

Sharp daily picks with 9+ confidence — across 50+ leagues. No signup, no fluff. Just winners.