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🇯🇵 J1 League · Japan

Kashima VS V-varen Nagasaki Prediction and Betting Tips

Kashima
W D L L L
vs
02:00
17 Oct · Sat
V-varen Nagasaki
D W L D L
Venue: Mercari Stadium Referee: Koei Koya
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
Total:Over: 2.5
80% confidence

As the J1 League season progresses, Kashima are set to host V-varen Nagasaki at the Mercari Stadium on October 17, 2026. Both teams are keen to secure valuable points as they strive to improve their standings. Kashima, sitting in 8th place, is looking to bounce back from recent setbacks, while V-varen Nagasaki, currently 15th, hopes to climb out of the lower echelons of the league.

Kashima's Mixed Fortunes at Home

Kashima's recent form has been a rollercoaster, with their last five matches yielding a mix of high-scoring encounters and narrow defeats. Their attacking prowess is evident, as they have averaged 1.60 goals per game, but defensive frailties have seen them concede 2.00 goals on average. At home, Kashima has been relatively strong, securing two wins and suffering just one defeat in their last five outings. They have shown a knack for finding the net at home, averaging 1.67 goals per game, while conceding 1.33. Fortunately for Kashima, they have no injury or suspension concerns, allowing them to field their strongest lineup.

V-varen Nagasaki Struggling on the Road

V-varen Nagasaki has found life challenging away from home, losing all three of their recent away games. Their away form has been particularly concerning, with just 1.00 goal scored per game while conceding a worrying 2.67. Despite this, they have shown glimpses of potential, as evidenced by their recent win against Nagoya Grampus. Overall, in their last five matches, they have averaged 1.20 goals scored and 1.80 conceded, indicating a vulnerability that Kashima could exploit. Like their opponents, V-varen Nagasaki will not be hindered by injuries or suspensions, which is crucial as they seek to improve their fortunes.

Prediction: Goals on the Horizon

Considering both teams' recent performances and head-to-head history, goals seem to be on the horizon. Kashima has consistently outperformed V-varen Nagasaki in their previous encounters, winning all five of their recent meetings. The likelihood of a high-scoring affair is bolstered by Kashima's ability to score and concede in equal measure, combined with V-varen Nagasaki's defensive struggles on the road. The prediction leans towards a game with over 2.5 goals, given the attacking potential and defensive vulnerabilities of both sides. Expect a competitive match where both teams find the back of the net, with Kashima's superior head-to-head record giving them the edge.

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Kashima
Home win
45%
Draw
No bet
45%
V-varen Nagasaki
Away win
10%
09.10 H Gamba Osaka 2 — 0 W
19.09 A Kawasaki Frontale 3 — 3 D
11.09 A Vissel Kobe 1 — 2 L
06.09 H Urawa 0 — 1 L
02.09 A Mito Hollyhock 2 — 4 L
19.09 H Cerezo Osaka 1 — 1 D
12.09 H Nagoya Grampus 2 — 0 W
06.09 A Vissel Kobe 1 — 3 L
02.09 H Gamba Osaka 2 — 2 D
29.08 H FC Tokyo 0 — 3 L
16.07.2025 Kashima vs V-varen Nagasaki 2 — 1
18.08.2021 Kashima vs V-varen Nagasaki 3 — 1
21.12.2019 Kashima vs V-varen Nagasaki 3 — 2
15.08.2018 V-varen Nagasaki vs Kashima 1 — 2
02.05.2018 Kashima vs V-varen Nagasaki 2 — 1

Football Betting Tips

80% Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5
Both teams have shown a tendency for high-scoring games, and Kashima's head-to-head dominance suggests goals are likely.
1X 75%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5 70%
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