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🇳🇱 Eredivisie · Netherlands

Excelsior VS Groningen Prediction and Betting Tips

Excelsior
D L D W W
vs
10:45
11 Oct · Sun
Groningen
W D D L L
Venue: Van Donge & De Roo Stadion Referee: Richard Martens
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
Total:Over: 2.5
80% confidence
1.52
Odds

As Excelsior prepares to host Groningen at Stadion Woudestein, both teams find themselves in the middle of the Eredivisie table, with Excelsior in 7th place and Groningen just behind in 8th. This match presents a tantalizing opportunity for either side to gain an edge in the standings and build momentum as the season progresses.

Excelsior's recent form has been commendable, especially as they remain undefeated in their last five outings. They have managed to secure three wins and two draws, a testament to their resilient performances both at home and away. Their away record particularly stands out, with an impressive average of 3.20 goals scored per match while conceding just 1.00. At home, however, Excelsior has been less consistent, winning two and losing two of their last five matches, scoring and conceding at an average rate of 1.75 goals. Fortunately for them, they have no injury or suspension concerns, allowing them to field their strongest squad against Groningen.

Groningen, on the other hand, has had a mixed bag of results in their last five matches. A solid victory against PEC Zwolle and a couple of draws against GO Ahead Eagles and Twente highlight their capability, but heavy losses to PSV Eindhoven and Fortuna Sittard indicate defensive vulnerabilities. Averaging 1.80 goals scored per game and conceding 2.20, Groningen will need to tighten their backline, especially away from home, where they have conceded an average of 2.25 goals. Like their opponents, Groningen has no injury or suspension worries, enabling them to deploy their best eleven.

In this encounter, the prediction leans towards a high-scoring affair. Excelsior's prolific away scoring form and Groningen's tendency to concede on the road suggest that goals are likely. The head-to-head history between these two sides also supports this view, with their last meeting ending in a thrilling 3-2 victory for Excelsior. Given these dynamics, the most probable betting event is "Total:Over: 2.5," with both teams possessing the firepower to contribute to a goal-laden match. The confidence score for this prediction is 8, considering the statistical trends and both teams' form. Additionally, punters might consider "Total Team 1 Over: 1.5" given Excelsior's scoring prowess, while "Total Team 2 Over: 1" is plausible with Groningen's attacking potential. "Total:Over: 3.0" and "1X" also present valuable opportunities, given the likelihood of a high-scoring draw or a marginal home win.

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Excelsior
Home win
37%
Draw
No bet
27%
Groningen
Away win
36%
19.09 A Ajax 2 — 2 D
13.09 H Utrecht 1 — 2 L
08.09 A NEC Nijmegen 2 — 2 D
05.09 A Willem II 3 — 0 W
29.08 H Sparta Rotterdam 2 — 1 W
18.09 H PEC Zwolle 3 — 0 W
12.09 A GO Ahead Eagles 1 — 1 D
06.09 H Twente 2 — 2 D
28.08 H Fortuna Sittard 2 — 3 L
23.08 A PSV Eindhoven 1 — 5 L
02.05.2026 Groningen vs Excelsior 2 — 3
05.12.2025 Excelsior vs Groningen 0 — 2
16.01.2024 Excelsior vs Groningen 0 — 2
25.02.2023 Groningen vs Excelsior 3 — 0
08.01.2023 Excelsior vs Groningen 1 — 0

Injuries and Suspensions

Excelsior

+N. Naujoks

Groningen

+E. van der Laan
+M. Jeng
+N. Brandis
+R. Metu
+T. Hernes
+T. Mercera
+W. Prins

Football Betting Tips

80% Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5
Excelsior's strong scoring record and Groningen's defensive weaknesses suggest a high-scoring game.
1.52
Odds
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5 @ 1.95 75%
Total Team 2 Over: 1 @ 1.31 70%

Odds

Excelsior vs Groningen
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 2.66 3.80 2.63 Bet now
William Hill 2.50 3.40 2.50 Bet now
Bet365 2.55 3.60 2.55 Bet now
Marathonbet 2.53 3.58 2.50 Bet now
Betfair 2.55 3.75 2.50 Bet now
BetVictor 2.50 3.70 2.50 Bet now
SBO 2.36 3.28 2.36 Bet now
1xBet 2.61 3.69 2.58 Bet now
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