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🌍 Copa Sudamericana · South America

Boca Juniors VS Deportivo Recoleta Prediction and Results

Boca Juniors
D W D L L
vs
3 – 1
Full Time · HT 0:1
18:00
11 Aug · Tue
Deportivo Recoleta
W W L D W
Venue: Estadio Alberto J. Armando Referee: P. Maza
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
Total:Over: 2.5
70% confidence

Match Timeline

Boca Juniors 3:1 Deportivo Recoleta
5'
P. RiosGoal
33'
A. FrancoYellow Card
45+2'
W. BaezRed Card
L. BlancoSubstitution · S. Villa
46'
46'
P. CharpentierSubstitution · O. Barreto
46'
A. FrancoSubstitution · J. Espinola
S. AscacibarGoal · S. Villa
49'
M. DelgadoGoal · S. Villa
51'
58'
R. DominguezSubstitution · F. Galeano
A. CostaYellow Card
59'
60'
D. MosqueraYellow Card
L. FloresGoal · Miguel Merentiel
62'
69'
D. MosqueraYellow Card
69'
D. MosqueraRed Card
A. CostaSubstitution · M. Pellegrino
72'
72'
A. GonzalezSubstitution · L. Monzon
L. FloresSubstitution · K. Zenon
82'
84'
P. RiosSubstitution · H. Lopez
S. AscacibarSubstitution · Angel Romero
89'

Match Data

Full-time statistics
77%
Ball Possession
23%
4.39
Expected Goals (xG)
0.45
38
Total Shots
6
8
Shots on Target
3
22
Shots off Target
1
8
Blocked Shots
2
23
Shots Inside Box
4
15
Shots Outside Box
2
8
Corners
1
1
Offsides
0
9
Fouls
10
1
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5
732
Total Passes
215
668
Accurate Passes
137
91%
Pass Accuracy
64%

As the Copa Sudamericana heats up, Boca Juniors and Deportivo Recoleta are set to clash on August 11, 2026, at the iconic Estadio Alberto J. Armando. This encounter promises to be a captivating contest as both teams look to assert their dominance and progress further in the competition. With Boca Juniors playing on home turf and Deportivo Recoleta aiming to prove their mettle away from home, this match could shape up to be a thrilling encounter.

Boca Juniors: Seeking Consistency and Control

Boca Juniors enter this fixture with a mixed bag of recent results. In their last five matches, they have managed to secure two wins, a draw, and suffered two losses. The team has shown resilience in their previous home games, with two victories in their last five at Estadio Alberto J. Armando. However, consistency has been elusive, as evidenced by their average of 1.00 goals scored and conceded at home. Despite these challenges, Boca Juniors will be buoyed by the fact that they have no injury or suspension concerns, enabling them to field a full-strength squad. The Argentine giants will be eager to capitalize on home advantage and establish control early in the match.

Deportivo Recoleta: Aiming for a Strong Away Performance

Deportivo Recoleta comes into this match with a slightly better recent record than their opponents, having secured two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five outings. However, their away form has been less than stellar, with three losses, one draw, and only one win in their previous five away matches. Their defensive vulnerability on the road is highlighted by an average of 2.40 goals conceded per game. Nonetheless, Deportivo Recoleta's attacking prowess is noteworthy, with an average of 1.60 goals scored away from home. Similar to Boca Juniors, Deportivo Recoleta has no injury or suspension worries, which allows them to field their strongest lineup and potentially exploit any defensive frailties of the home team.

Prediction: A Balanced Encounter with Goals

Considering the recent form and statistical trends, this match is poised to be a closely contested affair with both teams having the potential to score. Boca Juniors will likely look to leverage their home advantage, but their inconsistency makes a straightforward win less predictable. Deportivo Recoleta, while struggling defensively on the road, possesses an attacking threat that cannot be underestimated. With both teams averaging over a goal per game in recent fixtures, the prediction leans towards a match with multiple goals. Thus, a "Total:Over: 2.5" betting market appears to be the most probable outcome, providing a balanced view of both teams' offensive capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities.

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Boca Juniors
Home win
35%
Draw
No bet
35%
Deportivo Recoleta
Away win
30%
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05.08 H Estudiantes L.P. 1 — 0 W
02.08 A Newells Old Boys 2 — 2 D
30.07 A O'Higgins 0 — 1 L
26.07 A Deportivo Riestra 0 — 3 L
07.08 A Rubio NU 3 — 1 W
03.08 H Nacional Asuncion 3 — 2 W
30.07 A Libertad Asuncion 1 — 4 L
25.07 H Club Sp. San Lorenzo 1 — 1 D
26.05 A San Lorenzo 1 — 0 W

Football Betting Tips

70% Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5
Both teams have shown the ability to score but also concede goals, making a match with more than 2.5 goals likely.
Total:Over: 2.0 80%
Total Team 2 Over: 0.5 75%
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