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🇧🇷 Serie A · Brazil

Vitoria VS Gremio Prediction and Results

Vitoria
L L L L W
vs
1 – 0
Full Time · HT 0:0
19:00
07 Sep · Mon
Gremio
W W D L L
Venue: Barradao Referee: S. Sampaio
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
Total:Under: 2.5
80% confidence
1.70
Odds

Match Timeline

Vitoria 1:0 Gremio
36'
Pedro GabrielYellow Card
38'
Cristian PavónYellow Card
45'
Pedro GabrielSubstitution · Caio Paulista
ErickYellow Card
48'
48'
Caio PaulistaYellow Card
Caíque GonçalvesYellow Card
55'
59'
Erick NoriegaYellow Card
Carlos Renê de Sousa FerreiraGoal · Matheusinho
63'
69'
Erick NoriegaSubstitution · Danilo Barbosa da Silva
69'
Cristian PavónSubstitution · Juan Nardoni
69'
Mathias VillasantiSubstitution · José Enamorado
ErickSubstitution · Marinho
72'
78'
Carlos ViníciusSubstitution · Martin Braithwaite
79'
Gustavo MartinsYellow Card
Caíque GonçalvesSubstitution · Edenilson
81'
Diego TarziaSubstitution · Fabri
82'
MatheuzinhoSubstitution · Tomás Pochettino
82'
Carlos Renê de Sousa FerreiraSubstitution · Renato Kayzer
90'

Match Data

Full-time statistics
46%
Ball Possession
54%
20
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Target
5
10
Shots off Target
4
4
Blocked Shots
2
10
Shots Inside Box
4
10
Shots Outside Box
7
6
Corners
1
1
Offsides
1
13
Fouls
19
2
Yellow Cards
5
0
Red Cards
0
5
Goalkeeper Saves
5
394
Total Passes
480
322
Accurate Passes
400

As Vitoria prepare to face Gremio at the Barradao Stadium, both teams are grappling with challenges in their Serie A campaigns. Scheduled for September 7, this match is critical not just for league points, but also for team morale as both sides aim to climb the rankings.

Vitoria's Battle for Consistency

Vitoria, sitting at 12th in the league, have shown resilience at home but struggled on the road. Their recent matches underscore a troubling trend of inconsistency. With three home wins in their last five games, they seem formidable at Barradao. However, their away record tells a different story, with five consecutive losses, reflecting a stark contrast. Averaging just 0.40 goals per match in recent outings, their offensive line needs sharpening. Yet, defensively, they have been unable to hold the line, conceding an average of 1.40 goals. Fortunately for Vitoria, no injuries or suspensions plague the team, allowing them to field a full-strength squad against Gremio.

Gremio's Defensive Dilemmas

Gremio finds themselves in 15th place, grappling with a lack of victories away from home. Their last five matches paint a picture of a team struggling to find the net, scoring just 0.60 goals on average. Defensively, they have been slightly more robust at home, yet they concede an average of 1.00 goals per game on their travels. Similarly to Vitoria, Gremio does not face the challenge of missing any key players due to injuries or suspensions, allowing them to deploy their strongest lineup in this crucial clash. However, the pressing issue remains their inability to secure a win on the road.

Prediction: A Tactical Standoff

Given both teams' recent form and historical matchups, a closely contested game is on the cards. Vitoria's home advantage and Gremio's struggles away suggest a tense tactical battle. Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities, but neither has been prolific in attack. The most likely scenario is a low-scoring draw, with the keyword "prediction" pointing towards a stalemate. Vitoria and Gremio's last head-to-head encounters have often ended in draws, further supporting this outcome.

For bettors, the most probable betting event is "Total:Under: 2.5" given both teams' scoring difficulties and defensive records. A confidence score of 8 reflects the likelihood of a low-scoring affair. Additional potential markets include "X" with a probability of 60%, as both teams have a tendency to draw when facing each other. "Total:Under: 3.0" at 75% probability accounts for the limited scoring capabilities. "1X" with a 70% probability is plausible given Vitoria's stronger home form, and "Total:Under: 2.0" at 50% probability is also a reasonable expectation based on their recent performances.

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Vitoria
Home win
45%
Draw
No bet
29%
Gremio
Away win
26%
02.09 H Vasco DA Gama 0 — 2 L
29.08 A Atletico-MG 1 — 2 L
26.08 A Vasco DA Gama 0 — 1 L
23.08 H Bahia 0 — 2 L
16.08 H Botafogo 1 — 0 W
03.09 H Internacional 3 — 1 W
30.08 H Chapecoense-sc 3 — 1 W
27.08 A Internacional 0 — 0 D
23.08 A RB Bragantino 0 — 1 L
16.08 A Atletico-MG 0 — 3 L
19.03.2026 Gremio vs Vitoria 2 — 0
28.09.2025 Gremio vs Vitoria 3 — 1
27.04.2025 Vitoria vs Gremio 1 — 1
04.12.2024 Vitoria vs Gremio 1 — 1
21.07.2024 Gremio vs Vitoria 2 — 0

Injuries and Suspensions

Vitoria

+Alex Bruno
+Anderson
+Camutanga
+Dudu
+Edu
+Nathan Mendes
+R. Ramos
+Ramon
+Riccieli
+T. Pochettino

Gremio

+Dodi
+J. Cabral
+Marlon

Football Betting Tips

80% Confidence
Total:Under: 2.5
Both teams have struggled to score in recent matches, and their defensive records suggest a low-scoring game.
1.70
Odds
Total:Under: 3.0 @ 2.17 75%
1X @ 1.36 70%

Odds

Vitoria vs Gremio
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 2.20 3.49 3.57 Bet now
William Hill 2.05 3.20 3.40 Bet now
Bet365 2.15 3.30 3.50 Bet now
Marathonbet 2.08 3.34 3.42 Bet now
BetVictor 2.10 3.30 3.50 Bet now
1xBet 2.14 3.44 3.52 Bet now
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