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🇧🇷 Serie A · Brazil

Vitoria VS Bahia Prediction and Results

Vitoria
W L W L L
vs
0 – 2
Full Time · HT 0:0
15:00
23 Aug · Sun
Bahia
D D D D D
Venue: Barradao Referee: R. Claus
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
Total:Under: 2.5
70% confidence
1.75
Odds

Match Timeline

Vitoria 0:2 Bahia
MatheuzinhoYellow Card
26'
42'
RodrigoYellow Card
D. TarziaSubstitution · T. Pochettino
46'
WalaceSubstitution · Emmanuel Martinez
46'
ErickSubstitution · Marinho
63'
67'
A. VelizGoal · Erick Pulga
MatheuzinhoSubstitution · Renato Kayzer
70'
71'
ErickSubstitution · Jean Lucas
E. BritezSubstitution · Matheusinho
77'
78'
Erick PulgaYellow Card
82'
Erick PulgaSubstitution · Ruan Pablo
82'
Ruan PabloSubstitution · Michel Araujo
90+4'
A. VelizSubstitution · Everaldo
90+7'
Jean LucasGoal · Michel Araujo
CacaYellow Card
90+7'
90+7'
Jean LucasYellow Card

Match Data

Full-time statistics
47%
Ball Possession
53%
0.27
Expected Goals (xG)
3.41
12
Total Shots
27
2
Shots on Target
8
7
Shots off Target
12
3
Blocked Shots
7
4
Shots Inside Box
16
8
Shots Outside Box
11
6
Corners
7
1
Offsides
1
13
Fouls
10
1
Yellow Cards
2
6
Goalkeeper Saves
2
296
Total Passes
334
210
Accurate Passes
273
71%
Pass Accuracy
82%

As the Serie A season unfolds, fans are gearing up for an intriguing clash between Vitoria and Bahia at the Barradao Stadium on August 23, 2026. Vitoria, currently sitting 13th in the league, will be eager to improve their standing, especially in front of their home crowd. Bahia, positioned at 6th, is aiming to capitalize on their recent form to strengthen their push for the top spots.

Vitoria's Home Advantage

Vitoria has demonstrated a strong home performance recently, winning four of their last five matches at the Barradao Stadium. This impressive home run has seen them score an average of 1.80 goals per game, while conceding just 1.00. However, their overall form has been inconsistent, reflected in their last five matches where they managed only one win. Their recent encounter with Palmeiras resulted in a heavy 4-0 defeat, exposing some defensive vulnerabilities. Despite this, Vitoria will benefit from a full squad as there are no injuries or suspensions to contend with, giving them a solid foundation to build on for this fixture.

Bahia's Resilient Form

Bahia enters this match with a reputation for being stubborn defensively, having conceded only 0.40 goals per match in their last five outings. Their compact defense has been a key factor in achieving three wins at home, but their away form has been less convincing, with no wins, two draws, and three losses. Despite this, they have managed to score an average of 0.80 goals per game away from home, maintaining a consistent threat on the counter. Like Vitoria, Bahia will also have their full squad available, which could provide them with the necessary depth to handle the challenges posed by Vitoria.

Prediction: A Tight Contest

Given the current form of both teams, this match promises to be a hard-fought battle. Vitoria's strong home record contrasts sharply with Bahia's resilience and defensive solidity. The head-to-head statistics slightly favor Bahia, with three wins in their last five meetings, but Vitoria's home advantage cannot be underestimated. The prediction for this match leans towards a low-scoring affair, with the most likely outcome being a draw. This is supported by Bahia's recent tendency to keep games tight and Vitoria's solid home defense. Expect a game where both teams might be cautious, leading to a prediction of a draw with a Total:Under: 2.5 goals. Confidence in this outcome is bolstered by Bahia's defensive record and Vitoria's home performance, earning a confidence score of 7 out of 10.

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Vitoria
Home win
36%
Draw
No bet
30%
Bahia
Away win
34%
16.08 H Botafogo 1 — 0 W
09.08 A Flamengo 0 — 2 L
06.08 H Atletico Paranaense 4 — 0 W
03.08 A Atletico Paranaense 0 — 2 L
29.07 H Palmeiras 0 — 4 L
16.08 A Chapecoense-sc 3 — 3 D
09.08 H Vasco DA Gama 0 — 0 D
29.07 A Fluminense 0 — 0 D
26.07 H Corinthians 1 — 1 D
21.07 A Atletico-MG 1 — 1 D
11.03.2026 Bahia vs Vitoria 1 — 1
07.03.2026 Bahia vs Vitoria 2 — 1
25.01.2026 Vitoria vs Bahia 0 — 1
16.10.2025 Vitoria vs Bahia 2 — 1
18.05.2025 Bahia vs Vitoria 2 — 1

Injuries and Suspensions

Vitoria

+Anderson
+Camutanga
+Dudu
+Edu
+Nathan Mendes
+R. Ramos
+Riccieli

Bahia

+Ademir
+Everton Ribeiro
+Leo Vieira

Football Betting Tips

70% Confidence
Total:Under: 2.5
Bahia's recent defensive record and Vitoria's strong home performance suggest a low-scoring game.
1.75
Odds
Total:Under: 3.0 @ 1.41 70%
1X @ 1.43 65%

Odds

Vitoria vs Bahia
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 2.75 3.45 2.85 Bet now
William Hill 2.50 3.00 2.70 Bet now
Bet365 2.70 3.10 2.80 Bet now
Marathonbet 2.57 3.10 2.77 Bet now
Unibet 2.60 3.15 2.70 Bet now
Betfair 2.50 3.40 2.63 Bet now
BetVictor 2.55 3.25 2.70 Bet now
SBO 2.50 3.11 2.57 Bet now
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