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🇧🇷 Serie A · Brazil

Santos VS Mirassol Prediction and Results

Santos
D W W L W
vs
1 – 1
Full Time · HT 0:1
17:30
23 Aug · Sun
Mirassol
D L D L L
Venue: Estadio Urbano Caldeira Referee: E. Batista
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
Total:Over: 2.5
70% confidence
1.88
Odds

Match Timeline

Santos 1:1 Mirassol
Joao SchmidtYellow Card
20'
22'
Gabriel KnesowitschYellow Card
24'
Neto MouraYellow Card
28'
Gabriel KnesowitschSubstitution · Lucas Oliveira
36'
EduardoGoal
RonySubstitution · Gabriel Bontempo
46'
Joao SchmidtSubstitution · B. Rollheiser
61'
61'
G. CazonattiSubstitution · Wallisson
61'
EduardoSubstitution · Japa
A. BarrealGoal · Neymar
68'
73'
WallissonRed Card
A. BarrealSubstitution · Thaciano
74'
76'
Igor FormigaYellow Card
78'
Bruno SantosSubstitution · Carlos Eduardo
78'
AlessonSubstitution · Fernandinho
Igor ViniciusSubstitution · D. Fernandes
82'
Gabriel BarbosaSubstitution · G. Caballero
82'
NeymarYellow Card
88'

Match Data

Full-time statistics
64%
Ball Possession
36%
1.06
Expected Goals (xG)
0.23
20
Total Shots
5
7
Shots on Target
3
6
Shots off Target
2
7
Blocked Shots
0
8
Shots Inside Box
3
12
Shots Outside Box
2
10
Corners
2
9
Fouls
13
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
6
572
Total Passes
331
495
Accurate Passes
246
87%
Pass Accuracy
74%

As the Serie A season progresses, the upcoming clash between Santos and Mirassol at the Estadio Urbano Caldeira promises to be an intriguing encounter. Santos, currently languishing in 17th position, will be eager to climb out of the relegation zone, while Mirassol, sitting slightly higher in 15th place, aims to consolidate their mid-table status. Both teams are looking to leverage this match as a turning point in their respective campaigns.

Santos Looks to Home Advantage

Santos has shown commendable resilience in their recent home performances, with two wins and two draws in their last five matches at Estadio Urbano Caldeira. Their ability to score an average of 1.60 goals per game at home indicates a potent attacking threat that they will aim to capitalize on in this fixture. However, the defensive frailties that see them concede an average of 1.40 goals per game at home could pose a challenge. With no injuries or suspensions to worry about, the full squad is available to put up a strong fight against Mirassol.

Mirassol Seeks Away Breakthrough

Mirassol's away form, however, has been a cause for concern. With four losses and just one draw in their last five away outings, securing points on the road has been elusive. Averaging only 0.40 goals scored per game on their travels, their attacking line will need to find a sharper edge. Despite this, Mirassol's recent 2-1 home victory over Remo and a respectable 1-1 draw against LDU de Quito suggest that they can rise to the occasion. The squad is free from injuries and suspensions, giving them a chance to field their best possible lineup in search of that elusive away win.

Prediction: A Tight Contest on the Cards

Given the current form and head-to-head history, this match is set to be closely contested. Both teams have shared two draws in their last five encounters, underscoring the competitive nature of this fixture. With both sides averaging over a goal conceded per game, the potential for goals is high. Therefore, the prediction leans towards a match with both teams finding the back of the net, making "Total:Over: 2.5" a likely scenario. This prediction is supported by the fact that their last meeting ended in a 2-2 draw, and Santos' capacity to score at home adds weight to this expectation.

Other potential betting markets could include "1X", given Santos' stronger home form and Mirassol's struggles on the road. Additionally, the "Total:Under: 3.0" market seems viable, considering neither team has consistently scored prolifically in recent matches. The head-to-head data also suggests a possible draw, making "X" an interesting option. Lastly, "Total Team 1 Over: 1" aligns with Santos' average home scoring rate, making it a bet to watch.

In conclusion, while both teams have their strengths and vulnerabilities, this match could very well be decided by which side can best exploit the other's defensive lapses. As always, fans can expect an entertaining game with moments of brilliance and tension.

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Santos
Home win
49%
Draw
No bet
28%
Mirassol
Away win
23%
20.08 A Macara 0 — 0 D
16.08 A Vasco DA Gama 3 — 0 W
13.08 H Macara 2 — 1 W
09.08 H Atletico Paranaense 0 — 2 L
04.08 A Remo 1 — 0 W
20.08 A LDU de Quito 0 — 0 D
16.08 H Flamengo 1 — 5 L
13.08 H LDU de Quito 1 — 1 D
09.08 A Cruzeiro 1 — 3 L
05.08 A Gremio 0 — 1 L
10.03.2026 Mirassol vs Santos 2 — 2
19.11.2025 Santos vs Mirassol 1 — 1
19.07.2025 Mirassol vs Santos 3 — 0
16.01.2025 Santos vs Mirassol 2 — 1
12.10.2024 Santos vs Mirassol 3 — 2

Injuries and Suspensions

Santos

+Gabriel Bontempo
+Lucas Verissimo
+Vinicius Lira

Mirassol

+Denilson
+Edson Carioca
+Elias
+G. Cazonatti
+Gustavo Silva
+Jose Aldo
+Negueba

Football Betting Tips

70% Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5
Both teams have shown vulnerabilities in defense, with past encounters often seeing multiple goals, suggesting a high-scoring game is likely.
1.88
Odds
1X @ 1.22 70%
Total Team 1 Over: 1 @ 1.31 65%

Odds

Santos vs Mirassol
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 1.96 3.65 4.15 Bet now
William Hill 1.85 3.30 3.90 Bet now
Bet365 1.91 3.50 4.10 Bet now
Marathonbet 1.85 3.52 4.05 Bet now
Unibet 1.89 3.40 3.95 Bet now
Betfair 1.90 3.40 4.00 Bet now
BetVictor 1.87 3.60 4.00 Bet now
SBO 1.88 3.33 3.62 Bet now
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