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🇧🇷 Serie A · Brazil

Palmeiras VS Vasco DA Gama Prediction and Results

Palmeiras
W L D D L
vs
4 – 1
Full Time · HT 0:0
15:00
23 Aug · Sun
Vasco DA Gama
W L D D W
Venue: Nubank Parque Referee: B. Machado
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
Total:Under: 2.5
80% confidence
1.91
Odds

Match Timeline

Palmeiras 4:1 Vasco DA Gama
Marlon FreitasYellow Card
9'
44'
A. GomezYellow Card
A. BarbozaSubstitution · Murilo
46'
J. LopezGoal · Allan Elias
47'
50'
Thiago MendesYellow Card
Vitor RoqueGoal (Penalty)
51'
MauricioGoal · Andreas Pereira
56'
58'
CuiabanoSubstitution · Riquelme Avellar
58'
Thiago MendesSubstitution · Ramon Rique
65'
AdsonSubstitution · N. Moreira
65'
DavidSubstitution · F. Colidio
Allan EliasSubstitution · Felipe Anderson
71'
Vitor RoqueSubstitution · J. Arias
71'
Marlon FreitasSubstitution · E. Martinez
71'
72'
A. GomezSubstitution · M. Hinestroza
83'
Robert RenanYellow Card
A. GiaySubstitution · Khellven
83'
J. LopezGoal · J. Arias
89'
90+4'
F. ColidioGoal

Match Data

Full-time statistics
57%
Ball Possession
43%
1.60
Expected Goals (xG)
0.77
12
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Target
2
4
Shots off Target
5
4
Blocked Shots
2
7
Shots Inside Box
6
5
Shots Outside Box
3
5
Corners
3
1
Offsides
2
8
Fouls
16
1
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1
440
Total Passes
329
380
Accurate Passes
281
86%
Pass Accuracy
85%

As the Serie A season unfolds, an intriguing clash awaits as league leaders Palmeiras take on Vasco DA Gama at the vibrant Nubank Parque. With contrasting fortunes in the league standings, Palmeiras are soaring high while Vasco DA Gama find themselves battling in the relegation zone. This encounter promises a mix of determination and tactical prowess, with both teams eager to secure vital points.

Palmeiras: Aiming to Consolidate Their Dominance

Palmeiras have been a formidable force in Serie A this season, sitting comfortably at the top of the league. Their recent form has been impressive, with only one loss in their last five matches, a narrow 3-2 defeat against Fortaleza EC. At home, Palmeiras have shown resilience, recording two wins and two draws in their last five home games. With an average of 1.20 goals scored per home match and a solid defense conceding only 0.60 goals on average, they have built a fortress at Nubank Parque.

While Palmeiras boast a clean bill of health with no injuries or suspensions, their offensive prowess is further highlighted by a strong away performance, averaging 3.20 goals per game. Their recent 4-0 triumph over Vitoria underlines their attacking capabilities, making them a daunting opponent for any side.

Vasco DA Gama: Fighting for Survival

Vasco DA Gama, on the other hand, are fighting to climb out of the relegation zone, currently positioned 18th in the league. Their recent form shows signs of resilience, with a notable 3-1 victory over Fluminense. However, their struggle to find the back of the net consistently is evident, averaging just 0.80 goals per match in their last five outings. Despite this, their defense has been commendable, conceding only 0.20 goals on average, which could be crucial against a high-scoring Palmeiras side.

Vasco DA Gama's away form has seen them secure one win and three draws in their last five matches, demonstrating their ability to grind out results on the road. With no injuries or suspensions hampering their squad, Vasco will be keen to replicate their defensive solidity to stifle Palmeiras' attacking threat.

Prediction: A Tactical Battle on the Horizon

Considering both teams' current form and head-to-head history, this match could be closer than league positions suggest. Palmeiras have the upper hand with four wins in their last five encounters against Vasco DA Gama. However, Vasco's recent defensive record and their ability to hold teams to draws make a draw a plausible outcome. The prediction for this match leans towards a low-scoring affair, with both sides likely to focus on defensive organization.

The most probable betting event is "Total:Under: 2.5" goals, given Vasco DA Gama's recent matches have been low-scoring and their solid defensive record. Our confidence score for this outcome is 8, reflecting the statistical trends observed in both teams' performances. Additional betting options include predictions for a draw, considering Vasco's ability to hold stronger teams and Palmeiras' occasional draw at home.

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Palmeiras
Home win
58%
Draw
No bet
24%
Vasco DA Gama
Away win
18%
19.08 A Cerro Porteno 1 — 0 W
15.08 A Fluminense 2 — 3 L
12.08 H Cerro Porteno 1 — 1 D
09.08 H Internacional 0 — 0 D
05.08 A Fortaleza EC 2 — 3 L
20.08 A Olimpia 4 — 1 W
16.08 H Santos 0 — 3 L
13.08 H Olimpia 0 — 0 D
09.08 A Bahia 0 — 0 D
05.08 A Fluminense 3 — 1 W
12.03.2026 Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras 2 — 1
01.10.2025 Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama 3 — 0
04.05.2025 Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras 0 — 1
22.09.2024 Vasco DA Gama vs Palmeiras 0 — 1
13.06.2024 Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama 2 — 0

Injuries and Suspensions

Palmeiras

+Jefte
+Paulinho
+R. Sosa

Vasco DA Gama

+Brenner
+Jair
+Mateus Carvalho

Football Betting Tips

80% Confidence
Total:Under: 2.5
Vasco DA Gama's recent defensive performance and low-scoring matches suggest a likely low-scoring game.
1.91
Odds
1X @ 1.13 75%
Total:Under: 3.0 @ 1.49 70%

Odds

Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 1.62 4.05 6.30 Bet now
William Hill 1.57 3.75 5.00 Bet now
Bet365 1.55 4.00 6.25 Bet now
Marathonbet 1.57 3.88 5.65 Bet now
Unibet 1.57 3.85 5.75 Bet now
Betfair 1.55 3.90 5.50 Bet now
BetVictor 1.57 3.90 5.75 Bet now
SBO 1.55 3.73 5.22 Bet now
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