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🇧🇷 Serie A · Brazil

Palmeiras VS Sao Paulo Prediction and Results

Palmeiras
W D D D W
vs
2 – 0
Full Time · HT 1:0
17:30
12 Sep · Sat
Sao Paulo
L W W L W
Venue: Allianz Parque Referee: A. Daronco
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
Total:Over: 2.5
80% confidence
2.05
Odds

Match Timeline

Palmeiras 2:0 Sao Paulo
12'
Pablo MaiaYellow Card
39'
Luis Osorio Messias De OliveiraRed Card
Joaquín PiquerezSubstitution · Arthur Gabriel
45'
Agustin GiaySubstitution · Khellven Douglas Silva Oliveira
45'
45'
Cauly Oliveira SouzaSubstitution · Robert Arboleda
Murilo Cerqueira PaimGoal
45+1'
Gustavo GómezYellow Card
45+4'
Agustin GiayYellow Card
45+5'
Vitor RoqueGoal · Khellven Douglas Silva Oliveira
50'
64'
Andre SilvaSubstitution · Artur Victor Guimarães
64'
WendellSubstitution · Iago Amaral Borduchi
64'
Djhordney FerreiraSubstitution · Danielzinho
Lucas EvangelistaSubstitution · Luis Pacheco
67'
Jhon AriasSubstitution · Felipe Anderson
67'
Murilo Cerqueira PaimYellow Card
76'
76'
Aldemir FerreiraSubstitution · Tetê
José Manuel LópezSubstitution · Larson Torna Ferreira dos Santos
77'
Larson Torna Ferreira dos SantosYellow Card
85'

Match Data

Full-time statistics
58%
Ball Possession
42%
19
Total Shots
8
7
Shots on Target
2
9
Shots off Target
2
3
Blocked Shots
4
12
Shots Inside Box
4
7
Shots Outside Box
4
9
Corners
6
3
Offsides
0
21
Fouls
12
4
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5
527
Total Passes
400
458
Accurate Passes
335

In what promises to be an intriguing clash in Serie A, league leaders Palmeiras host Sao Paulo at the Allianz Parque. Scheduled for September 12th, this encounter sees Palmeiras aiming to consolidate their position at the top, while Sao Paulo looks to climb the table from their current 11th place standing. Both teams will be looking to capitalize on their recent performances as they face off in this storied rivalry.

Palmeiras: Dominant at Home

Palmeiras have been a formidable force in the league, particularly on their home turf. With an unbeaten home record in their last five, which includes three wins and two draws, they have been relentless in attack, averaging 2.20 goals per game while conceding just 0.40. This defensive solidity, coupled with a potent attack, has been the cornerstone of their success this season. The team comes into this match without any injuries or suspensions, allowing them to field their strongest lineup. Recent performances have seen them dispatch opponents with ease, as demonstrated in their 4-1 victory over Vasco da Gama and a 3-0 win against Santos.

Sao Paulo: Struggles on the Road

Sao Paulo's away form has been less than stellar, with no wins in their last five outings on the road. They have managed only two draws and suffered three losses, scoring an average of 0.60 goals per game while conceding 1.20. Despite these challenges, Sao Paulo has shown glimpses of their potential, notably in their home performances where they secured a 2-1 victory against RB Bragantino. However, their inability to secure victories away from home remains a concern. Like Palmeiras, Sao Paulo will be fielding a full-strength squad, as they have no players sidelined due to injuries or suspensions.

Prediction: Goals on the Horizon

Given the current form and statistical trends, this match is likely to see goals. Palmeiras' strong home form and attacking prowess suggest they will find the net, while Sao Paulo's struggle on the road could see them exposed defensively. The head-to-head record also favors Palmeiras, who have won all five of their recent encounters against Sao Paulo, including a 3-1 triumph in their last meeting. A likely betting event is for the match to see over 2.5 goals, given Palmeiras' average of 1.80 goals scored in their last five matches and Sao Paulo's ability to score, albeit inconsistently. This prediction is supported by the open style of play both teams have demonstrated. Confidence in this outcome is bolstered by the historical head-to-head dominance of Palmeiras over Sao Paulo.

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Palmeiras
Home win
56%
Draw
No bet
26%
Sao Paulo
Away win
18%
09.09 H LDU de Quito 1 — 0 W
06.09 A Botafogo 0 — 0 D
02.09 A Santos 0 — 0 D
30.08 A Mirassol 1 — 1 D
26.08 H Santos 3 — 0 W
08.09 A Boca Juniors 0 — 1 L
05.09 H Atletico-MG 2 — 0 W
29.08 H RB Bragantino 2 — 1 W
23.08 A Chapecoense-sc 0 — 1 L
18.08 H Bolívar 3 — 1 W
21.03.2026 Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras 0 — 1
01.03.2026 Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo 2 — 1
24.01.2026 Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo 3 — 1
05.10.2025 Sao Paulo vs Palmeiras 2 — 3
11.05.2025 Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo 1 — 0

Injuries and Suspensions

Palmeiras

+Jefte
+Marlon Freitas
+Paulinho
+R. Sosa
A. Barboza

Sao Paulo

+D. Bobadilla
+Lucas Moura
+Lucca Marques

Football Betting Tips

80% Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5
Palmeiras' strong home scoring record and Sao Paulo's defensive vulnerabilities suggest a match with over 2.5 goals.
2.05
Odds
Total:Over: 1.5 @ 1.33 85%
Win 1 @ 1.66 75%

Odds

Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 1.74 3.85 5.55 Bet now
William Hill 1.65 3.50 5.00 Bet now
Bet365 1.67 3.80 5.25 Bet now
Marathonbet 1.64 3.68 5.25 Bet now
Betfair 1.62 3.70 5.50 Bet now
BetVictor 1.65 3.70 5.25 Bet now
SBO 1.62 3.50 4.84 Bet now
1xBet 1.69 3.78 5.40 Bet now
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