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🇧🇷 Serie A · Brazil

Gremio VS Sao Paulo Prediction and Results

Gremio
W D L D D
vs
2 – 1
Full Time · HT 0:1
15:00
08 Aug · Sat
Sao Paulo
D D L L W
Referee: S. Sampaio
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
Total:Under: 2.5
70% confidence
1.72
Odds

Match Timeline

Gremio 2:1 Sao Paulo
45'
Marcos AntonioGoal · Luciano
M. VillasantiYellow Card
45+5'
J. CabralSubstitution · F. Amuzu
46'
WallaceGoal · Carlos Vinicius
48'
J. NardoniSubstitution · Dodi
54'
70'
DanielzinhoSubstitution · D. Bobadilla
71'
FerreiraSubstitution · Cauly
75'
LucianoYellow Card
77'
Jonathan CalleriSubstitution · Andre Silva
Carlos ViniciusSubstitution · M. Braithwaite
78'
Diego CaitoYellow Card
81'
C. PavonGoal
86'
89'
WendellSubstitution · Victor Sa
89'
Pablo MaiaSubstitution · G. Santana
MarlonYellow Card
90+1'
M. VillasantiSubstitution · Walter Kannemann
90+1'
C. PavonSubstitution · L. Perez
90+1'
90+2'
Andre SilvaYellow Card
Walter KannemannYellow Card
90+5'
90+5'
Robert ArboledaYellow Card

Match Data

Full-time statistics
48%
Ball Possession
52%
1.62
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
12
Total Shots
18
5
Shots on Target
5
3
Shots off Target
8
4
Blocked Shots
5
8
Shots Inside Box
12
4
Shots Outside Box
6
7
Corners
7
2
Offsides
2
12
Fouls
19
4
Yellow Cards
3
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3
421
Total Passes
462
364
Accurate Passes
392
86%
Pass Accuracy
85%

As the Serie A season progresses, Gremio is set to face Sao Paulo in a crucial encounter that could have significant implications for both teams. Scheduled for August 8, 2026, this match will see Gremio striving to climb out of the relegation zone, while Sao Paulo will look to solidify their mid-table position.

Gremio’s Struggles and Insights

Gremio currently finds themselves in a precarious 17th position in the league, a reality that underscores their recent struggles. Over the last five matches, Gremio has managed to secure only one win, alongside one draw and three losses. This run includes a narrow 1-0 defeat to Bolívar and a 1-1 draw with Fluminense. At home, their form has been equally concerning, with only one win in their last five outings, coupled with an average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. Despite having no injuries or suspensions, Gremio will need to harness all their energy to turn their fortunes around against Sao Paulo.

Sao Paulo’s Mid-Table Ambitions

Sao Paulo enters this match in 12th place, a position that reflects their mixed form. In their last five matches, they have recorded one win, one draw, and three losses. Their recent away performances have been particularly troubling, with four losses and just one draw, conceding an average of 2.00 goals per game while scoring 1.00. Despite this, Sao Paulo’s ability to secure a 1-1 draw against a strong Flamengo side showcases their potential to challenge higher-ranked teams. With no injuries or suspensions, Sao Paulo will aim to capitalize on Gremio’s vulnerabilities.

Prediction: A Tussle of Equals

The upcoming clash between Gremio and Sao Paulo promises to be a competitive affair, with both teams eager to secure valuable points. Historically, their head-to-head encounters have been closely contested, with Sao Paulo edging three wins to Gremio’s two in their last five meetings. Given both teams' current form and goal-scoring averages, a match with limited goals seems likely. Therefore, the prediction centers around a low-scoring game, potentially resulting in a draw. The most probable outcome appears to be Total:Under: 2.5, given both teams' recent scoring difficulties and defensive records.

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Gremio
Home win
41%
Draw
No bet
29%
Sao Paulo
Away win
30%
05.08 H Mirassol 1 — 0 W
02.08 A Mirassol 1 — 1 D
30.07 H Bolívar 0 — 1 L
29.07 A Botafogo 0 — 0 D
26.07 H Fluminense 1 — 1 D
29.07 H Santos 0 — 0 D
26.07 A Flamengo 1 — 1 D
22.07 H Atletico Paranaense 1 — 2 L
31.05 A Remo 0 — 1 L
26.05 H Boston River 2 — 0 W
11.02.2026 Sao Paulo vs Gremio 2 — 0
16.10.2025 Gremio vs Sao Paulo 2 — 0
17.05.2025 Sao Paulo vs Gremio 2 — 1
01.12.2024 Gremio vs Sao Paulo 2 — 1
17.07.2024 Sao Paulo vs Gremio 1 — 0

Injuries and Suspensions

Gremio

+Tete
+Willian

Sao Paulo

+D. Bobadilla
+E. Diaz
+Lucas Moura
+R. Toloi

Football Betting Tips

70% Confidence
Total:Under: 2.5
Both teams have struggled to score recently, with Gremio averaging 0.80 and Sao Paulo 0.80 goals per match in their last five games.
1.72
Odds
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5 @ 1.37 70%
Total Team 1 Under: 1.5 @ 1.54 65%

Odds

Gremio vs Sao Paulo
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 2.43 3.30 3.32 Bet now
William Hill 2.30 3.00 3.10 Bet now
Bet365 2.30 3.25 3.20 Bet now
Marathonbet 2.30 3.14 3.14 Bet now
Unibet 2.38 3.25 2.95 Bet now
Betfair 2.30 3.25 3.00 Bet now
BetVictor 2.30 3.25 3.10 Bet now
Pinnacle 2.37 3.22 3.27 Bet now
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