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🇧🇷 Serie A · Brazil

Gremio VS Bahia Prediction and Betting Tips

Gremio
D L W W W
vs
19:30
18 Nov · Wed
Bahia
L W D L W
Venue: Arena do Grêmio Referee: Fernando Antonio Mendes de Salles Nascimento Filho, Brazil
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
Total:Over: 2.0
70% confidence
1.32
Odds

As Serie A gears up for another thrilling encounter, Gremio will host Bahia at the Arena do Grêmio on November 19, 2026. This match promises to be an intriguing clash between a home side battling to climb out of the relegation zone and an away team keen on securing a top-six finish. Both teams will be eager to make a statement, with Gremio looking to leverage their improved recent form against a resilient Bahia squad.

Gremio's Resurgence on Home Turf

Gremio enters this fixture sitting in 18th place, but recent performances suggest a team on the rise. In their last five matches, they have accumulated two wins and two draws, with a sole loss against Flamengo. Their home form has been particularly encouraging, boasting two victories and two draws in their last five home games, scoring an average of 1.40 goals while conceding 1.00. Gremio's defensive solidity has been noteworthy, only allowing an average of 0.80 goals across their last five outings. With no injured or suspended players, Gremio will be fielding a full-strength squad, a factor that could be pivotal against a challenging opponent like Bahia.

Bahia's Struggle for Consistency

Bahia stands firm at 6th in the league, but their recent performances have been a mix of highs and lows. Their last five games have seen them secure two wins, one draw, and two losses. While Bahia's home form has been impressive, their away performances tell a different story. On the road, they have managed just one win in their last five games, with three losses and a draw, conceding an average of 1.80 goals per match. However, with an attacking average of 1.40 goals scored away from home, Bahia remains a potent threat. Like Gremio, Bahia will field a full squad, free from injuries and suspensions, as they aim to maintain their position in the top echelon of the league.

Prediction: A Tight Encounter on the Cards

Given the current form and statistics, this match is poised to be a closely fought contest. Both teams have displayed a propensity to find the net, evidenced by their identical average goal-scoring rate of 1.40 over their recent matches. However, Bahia's leaky defense on the road, coupled with Gremio's improved defensive record, suggests that Gremio might edge this encounter. The most likely betting event, considering the data, is "Total:Over: 2.0," given both teams' scoring capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities. This prediction holds a confidence score of 7, based on Gremio's solid home form and Bahia's unpredictable away performances. Additional betting opportunities include the likelihood of Gremio securing at least a point with a "1X" market, a draw with "X," or even Gremio managing to score over 1.5 goals themselves, reflecting their recent attacking efficiency.

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Gremio
Home win
41%
Draw
No bet
28%
Bahia
Away win
31%
07.11 A Atletico-MG 1 — 1 D
04.11 A Flamengo 1 — 3 L
01.11 H Atletico-MG 2 — 0 W
29.10 H Atletico Paranaense 2 — 0 W
26.10 A Coritiba 1 — 0 W
05.11 A Cruzeiro 2 — 3 L
28.10 H Sao Paulo 3 — 2 W
24.10 A Santos 1 — 1 D
18.10 H Flamengo 0 — 3 L
11.10 H Mirassol 1 — 0 W
17.05.2026 Bahia vs Gremio 1 — 1
19.10.2025 Bahia vs Gremio 4 — 0
25.05.2025 Gremio vs Bahia 1 — 0
17.08.2024 Gremio vs Bahia 0 — 2
27.04.2024 Bahia vs Gremio 1 — 0

Football Betting Tips

70% Confidence
Total:Over: 2.0
Both teams have shown consistent scoring ability, and Bahia's defense is particularly vulnerable away from home.
1.32
Odds
1X @ 1.39 70%
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5 @ 1.98 60%

Odds

Gremio vs Bahia
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 2.36 3.65 3.07 Bet now
William Hill 2.25 3.30 2.90 Bet now
Bet365 2.30 3.40 2.90 Bet now
Marathonbet 2.24 3.48 2.93 Bet now
Betfair 2.30 3.50 2.80 Bet now
BetVictor 2.25 3.60 2.90 Bet now
SBO 2.17 3.16 2.68 Bet now
1xBet 2.31 3.59 3.02 Bet now
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