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🇧🇷 Serie A · Brazil

Fluminense VS Bahia Prediction and Betting Tips

Fluminense
D W W D W
vs
00:30
30 Jul · Thu
Bahia
D W L W W
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
Total:Over: 2.5
80% confidence
1.89
Odds

As the Serie A season unfolds, an intriguing matchup is set to take place between Fluminense and Bahia. Scheduled for the early hours of July 30th, this clash will see two of the top six teams in the league face off. With Fluminense sitting comfortably in 3rd place and Bahia trailing not far behind in 6th, both teams will be eager to secure crucial points as they continue their pursuit of a higher league position.

Fluminense: A Dominant Force at Home

Fluminense has been nothing short of impressive this season, particularly when playing on their home turf. Undefeated in their last five home matches, the team has achieved four wins and a draw, showcasing their strong form. With an average of 2.80 goals scored and only 0.80 conceded per game at home, Fluminense's attacking prowess and solid defense have been key to their success. Notably, they come into this match with no injury or suspension concerns, allowing them to field their strongest lineup.

Bahia: Resilient but Challenged Away

Bahia, currently in 6th position, has demonstrated resilience in recent matches, but their away form has been less convincing. With no wins and three losses in their last five away fixtures, they have struggled to replicate their home success on the road. Despite this, Bahia has shown the ability to find the net, averaging 1.20 goals per away game. However, their defense has been leaky, conceding an average of 2.00 goals per match. Like Fluminense, Bahia has the advantage of a full squad available, with no players sidelined due to injuries or suspensions.

Prediction: Goals on the Horizon

Given both teams' recent performances and head-to-head statistics, this matchup promises to be an exciting encounter. Fluminense has had the upper hand in recent meetings, winning three of the last five encounters, including a 2-0 victory earlier this season. However, Bahia is not to be underestimated, having shown they can score against top teams. The most likely betting event for this match is "Total:Over: 2.5," considering Fluminense's high-scoring games at home and Bahia's defensive vulnerabilities away. With Fluminense's attacking form and Bahia's ability to score, a high-scoring game seems probable. The confidence score for this prediction is 8, reflecting the likelihood of multiple goals being scored.

Additionally, bettors might consider the "Win 1" market, given Fluminense's dominant home record, with an estimated probability of 65%. For those looking at goal-specific markets, "Total Team 1 Over: 1.5" appears probable at 70%, considering Fluminense's average home goals. Meanwhile, "Total Team 2 Over: 0.5," with a 60% probability, highlights Bahia's scoring potential. Lastly, "Total:Under: 3.0" might appeal to those expecting a slightly tighter game, with a probability set at 55%.

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Fluminense
Home win
52%
Draw
No bet
26%
Bahia
Away win
22%
17.07 H RB Bragantino 1 — 1 D
12.07 H Bahia 2 — 0 W
08.07 H Nova Iguaçu 6 — 1 W
31.05 A Cruzeiro 1 — 1 D
28.05 H Deportivo La Guaira 3 — 1 W
21.07 A Atletico-MG 1 — 1 D
17.07 H Chapecoense-sc 2 — 0 W
12.07 A Fluminense 0 — 2 L
04.07 H Atletico Torque 4 — 1 W
30.05 H Botafogo 2 — 1 W
12.07.2026 Fluminense vs Bahia 2 — 0
05.02.2026 Bahia vs Fluminense 1 — 1
07.12.2025 Fluminense vs Bahia 2 — 0
10.09.2025 Fluminense vs Bahia 2 — 0
28.08.2025 Bahia vs Fluminense 1 — 0

Football Betting Tips

80% Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5
Fluminense's strong home scoring record combined with Bahia's defensive vulnerabilities away suggest multiple goals are likely.
1.89
Odds
Total Team 1 Over: 1.5 @ 1.85 70%
Win 1 @ 1.79 65%

Odds

Fluminense vs Bahia
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 1.88 3.79 4.53 Bet now
William Hill 1.75 3.50 4.20 Bet now
Bet365 1.75 3.60 4.20 Bet now
Marathonbet 1.76 3.64 4.35 Bet now
Unibet 1.83 3.65 4.10 Bet now
Betfair 1.80 3.60 4.20 Bet now
BetVictor 1.75 3.60 4.40 Bet now
1xBet 1.81 3.74 4.48 Bet now
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