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🇧🇷 Serie A · Brazil

Atletico Paranaense VS Palmeiras Prediction and Betting Tips

Atletico Paranaense
W D W D L
vs
18:30
17 Oct · Sat
Palmeiras
W W W D L
Venue: Arena da Baixada Referee: Paulo Cesar Zanovelli da Silva
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
Total:Over: 2.5
70% confidence
2.04
Odds

This weekend's Serie A encounter between Atletico Paranaense and Palmeiras promises to be an intriguing battle as two of the top three teams in the league go head-to-head at the Arena da Baixada. Both teams have shown impressive form throughout the season, with Palmeiras sitting in second place, just above Atletico Paranaense in third. As the match approaches, fans are eager to see which team will gain the upper hand in this crucial fixture.

Atletico Paranaense: Resilient at Home

Atletico Paranaense has been a formidable force at home this season, remaining unbeaten in their last five matches at the Arena da Baixada. With a record of two wins and three draws, they have demonstrated resilience and tenacity on their turf. In these home fixtures, they have managed to score an average of 2.00 goals per game while conceding just 1.40. Their attacking prowess has been evident, although their defensive line has been somewhat porous, allowing 2.40 goals on average in their recent outings. The squad is in good shape with no suspensions or injuries reported, which will be crucial as they aim to maintain their unbeaten home record against a strong Palmeiras side.

Palmeiras: Defensive Solidity on the Road

Palmeiras enters this match with an impressive away record, having remained unbeaten in their last five away games with one win and four draws. Their defense has been particularly noteworthy, conceding an average of just 0.80 goals per game on their travels. Despite their solid defensive performances, Palmeiras has struggled to find the back of the net away from home, averaging only 0.60 goals per match. This lack of attacking output might be a concern for the team, especially when facing a high-scoring side like Atletico Paranaense. However, with no injuries or suspensions affecting their squad, Palmeiras will be looking to leverage their defensive strength to secure a positive result.

Prediction: A Tight Contest Ahead

Given the recent performances and statistics, this match is likely to be a tightly contested affair. Atletico Paranaense's ability to score consistently at home will be put to the test against Palmeiras' robust defense. The two teams have had their fair share of encounters, with Palmeiras holding a slight edge with three wins in their last five meetings. However, Atletico Paranaense's current form at home and Palmeiras' struggles to score away suggest that a draw is a plausible outcome. The prediction for this match is a high probability of a draw, with both teams likely to score. This is bolstered by the fact that both teams have been involved in high-scoring matches recently. The most likely betting event is "Total:Over: 2.5" with a confidence score of 7, given Atletico Paranaense's scoring average and Palmeiras' defensive record. Additional events to consider include "X" with a probability of 40%, "Total:Over: 1.5" at 70%, "Total Team 1 Over: 1" at 60%, and "Total Team 2 Under: 1.5" at 65%.

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Atletico Paranaense
Home win
33%
Draw
No bet
29%
Palmeiras
Away win
38%
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Injuries and Suspensions

Atletico Paranaense

+C. Teran
+Dantas
+G. Benavidez
+K. A. Calderon Vargas

Palmeiras

+A. Giay
+G. Gomez
+Jefte
+Vitor Roque

Football Betting Tips

70% Confidence
Total:Over: 2.5
Atletico Paranaense's high scoring average at home, combined with Palmeiras' defensive capabilities, suggests a high-scoring match.
2.04
Odds
Total:Over: 1.5 @ 1.32 70%
Total Team 2 Under: 1.5 @ 1.51 65%

Odds

Atletico Paranaense vs Palmeiras
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 2.98 3.43 2.57 Bet now
William Hill 2.80 3.10 2.40 Bet now
Bet365 2.80 3.20 2.45 Bet now
Marathonbet 2.84 3.28 2.39 Bet now
BetVictor 2.80 3.25 2.45 Bet now
1xBet 2.93 3.38 2.47 Bet now
Betano 2.87 3.30 2.52 Bet now
Dafabet 2.90 3.35 2.48 Bet now
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