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🇩🇪 Bundesliga · Germany

Union Berlin VS Borussia Dortmund Prediction and Betting Tips

Union Berlin
W L L L D
vs
09:30
17 Oct · Sat
Borussia Dortmund
W W W W W
Referee: Robert Hartmann, Germany
Our prediction · Pre-match analysis
Total:Over: 3.0
80% confidence
1.75
Odds

As the Bundesliga season unfolds, Union Berlin is set to host Borussia Dortmund in an intriguing clash on October 17, 2026. The matchup will see two teams at opposite ends of the league table, with Union Berlin struggling to climb out of the relegation zone and Borussia Dortmund riding high at the summit. With both teams having distinct recent forms, this encounter promises to be a captivating fixture.

Union Berlin has faced a difficult start to the season, finding themselves in the 17th position on the league table. Their recent performances have been a mixed bag, with the team securing only one win in their last five matches, a narrow 1-0 victory against HNK Rijeka. At home, Union Berlin has managed to score an average of 2.20 goals per match but has been porous defensively, conceding an average of 2.80 goals. Despite these challenges, the team has shown resilience, notably in a thrilling 3-3 draw against Eintracht Frankfurt. Fortunately for Union Berlin, they will be without any injured or suspended players, allowing them to field their strongest possible lineup.

Borussia Dortmund, on the other hand, have been in imperious form and sit comfortably at the top of the league standings. They have been ruthless in their recent outings, winning all five of their last matches with an impressive average of 3.00 goals scored per game. Their defensive solidity is equally commendable, conceding only 0.80 goals on average. Dortmund’s away form has been flawless, winning all their last five away games, a run highlighted by a commanding 5-0 victory over HEBC. With no injury or suspension concerns, Dortmund will be eager to continue their dominance.

The prediction for this clash leans heavily in favor of Borussia Dortmund, given their current form and previous head-to-head record against Union Berlin. Dortmund has won four of the last five encounters between these two sides, including a commanding 6-0 win in one of the recent fixtures. Union Berlin’s defense has been leaky, and up against Dortmund’s potent attack, they are likely to struggle. The most likely betting event for this match is the "Total:Over: 3.0" market, given the high-scoring nature of both teams' recent games and Dortmund’s attacking prowess. With a confidence score of 8, this prediction is supported by the statistical trends and current team dynamics. Other potential betting markets include "Total:Over: 2.5" and "Total Team 2 Over: 1.5," reflecting Dortmund’s likelihood of scoring multiple goals. The match could also see "X2" as a safe bet considering Dortmund’s form, while "Total Team 1 Over: 0.5" accounts for Union Berlin’s ability to find the net at home.

Win Probability

Pre-match analysis
Union Berlin
Home win
21%
Draw
No bet
23%
Borussia Dortmund
Away win
56%
26.09 A HNK Rijeka 1 — 0 W
18.09 A Bayern München 0 — 7 L
11.09 H FC Schalke 04 1 — 3 L
05.09 A Bayer Leverkusen 0 — 4 L
29.08 H Eintracht Frankfurt 3 — 3 D
19.09 A VfB Stuttgart 1 — 0 W
12.09 H SC Paderborn 07 3 — 0 W
08.09 H Villarreal 3 — 2 W
05.09 A 1899 Hoffenheim 3 — 2 W
01.09 A HEBC 5 — 0 W
24.01.2026 Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund 0 — 3
31.08.2025 Borussia Dortmund vs Union Berlin 3 — 0
22.02.2025 Borussia Dortmund vs Union Berlin 6 — 0
05.10.2024 Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund 2 — 1
02.03.2024 Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund 0 — 2

Football Betting Tips

80% Confidence
Total:Over: 3.0
Dortmund's scoring form and Union Berlin's defensive struggles suggest a high-scoring game.
1.75
Odds
X2 @ 1.19 80%
Total:Over: 2.5 @ 1.47 75%

Odds

Union Berlin vs Borussia Dortmund
Bookmaker 1 X 2
Pin Up Best odds 4.80 4.50 1.78 Bet now
William Hill 4.33 4.00 1.67 Bet now
Bet365 4.33 4.00 1.65 Bet now
Marathonbet 4.60 4.33 1.68 Bet now
Betfair 4.75 4.33 1.60 Bet now
SBO 4.24 3.94 1.57 Bet now
1xBet 4.72 4.45 1.73 Bet now
Betano 4.70 4.25 1.67 Bet now
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